NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x592fce0581496d356b8654d72fcfd5aa73bf18949f9fb22005f0f9f26b7e6a81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,476 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 198,062$100,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,771.4 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 49c | 126,280$61,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,402.62 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 49c | 18,888$9,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,632.88 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Under | 50c | 14,990$7,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,495 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 6,549$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.23 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 6,120$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,121.45 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 5,247$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.95 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 49c | 5,102$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.76 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 51c | 4,841$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.8 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 51c | 3,400$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 2,845$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.88 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 65c | 2,317$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.51 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 2,255$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.69 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 51c | 2,100$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 52c | 1,666$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.52 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 1,448$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.78 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 50c | 1,340$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.98 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 35c | 1,219$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.65 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 1,100$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.65 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 980.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 845.92$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.42 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 765$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9a…3f4bbacked Under | 53c | 745.11$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 52c | 653.85$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.85 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 49c | 631.4$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.01 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 538$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.24 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 523.39$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.95 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Under | 50c | 512$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 50c | 504.94$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.47 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Under | 52c | 495.61$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 66c | 494.14$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.01 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 39c | 454.6$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.72 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Under | 49c | 377.69$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 49c | 362.21$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.1 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 309.27$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.54 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Under | 49c | 295.65$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.78 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 254.28$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.05 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 53c | 250.72$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.72 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 51c | 228.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.53 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 42c | 224$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 204.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Under | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Under | 54c | 181.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Under | 63c | 179.9$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Under | 57c | 157$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 46c | 155.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Over | 49c | 143.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Under | 55c | 138.18$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 127$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 120.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 34c | 117.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Under | 51c | 107.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 39c | 99.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 97.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Under | 50c | 96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 61c | 95.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 61c | 92.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 92.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 22c | 77.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 64c | 74.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cf…6639backed Over | 48c | 71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…e738backed Under | 53c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 61c | 69.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 55c | 65.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Under | 46c | 64.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 52c | 58.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Over | 51c | 56.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 40c | 49.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…b6d0backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +49%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 45.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba5…f080backed Under | 50c | 42.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 32c | 42.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7911…85a6backed Under | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…1207backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Under | 50c | 35.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 52c | 34.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Under | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 43c | 32.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5this page
- Sabres vs. PenguinsSabres won
- Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.