NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa43118e3d5e2568b8ce1911e308f7103270b0137bafce7278db7a5bc2ceca7da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Kraken, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $532,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $550,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $532,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 517 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Kraken | 28c | 118,719$33,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,477.59 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kraken | 29c | 83,769$24,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,157.1 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Kraken | 29c | 59,998$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,598.89 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Lightning | 72c | 35,000$25,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,200 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kraken | 28c | 32,351$9,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,241.24 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Lightning | 71c | 30,561$21,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,698.14 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Lightning | 61c | 26,204$16,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,089.71 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lightning | 72c | 25,371$18,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,167.37 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Lightning | 71c | 19,386$13,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,764 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 55cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Lightning | 72c | 18,000$12,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,960 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…43fcbacked Lightning | 72c | 17,786$12,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,806 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…ac17backed Lightning | 72c | 17,547$12,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,634 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Lightning | 72c | 16,983$12,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,227.53 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kraken | 29c | 16,000$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,359.98 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Lightning | 72c | 11,944$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,599.65 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Lightning | 72c | 10,800$7,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,776 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 71c | 9,448$6,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,701.64 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Kraken | 29c | 8,054$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,718.48 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Lightning | 72c | 8,018$5,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,772.83 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lightning | 66c | 7,916$5,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.74 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a22…c593backed Lightning | 72c | 7,107$5,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,116.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f1…c5f8backed Lightning | 72c | 7,020$5,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,054.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Lightning | 71c | 6,860$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870.57 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Lightning | 72c | 6,220$4,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,478.4 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Kraken | 29c | 6,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 71c | 5,976$4,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,242.44 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Lightning | 71c | 5,768$4,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,095.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…cfcabacked Lightning | 72c | 5,760$4,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,147.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Lightning | 71c | 5,444$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.44 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Lightning | 69c | 5,216$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.57 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Lightning | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.89 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lightning | 72c | 4,821$3,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…c84abacked Kraken | 29c | 4,715$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,347.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Kraken | 35c | 4,490$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.19 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Lightning | 71c | 4,200$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.97 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kraken | 31c | 4,003$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.58 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Kraken | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Lightning | 71c | 4,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.98 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Lightning | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.93 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Lightning | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.89 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lightning | 61c | 3,771$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.33 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Kraken | 40c | 3,729$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.46 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Lightning | 58c | 3,449$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kraken | 41c | 3,403$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.38 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 39c | 3,140$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.66 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lightning | 72c | 3,135$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.92 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Kraken | 29c | 2,760$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.6 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…88acbacked Lightning | 72c | 2,508$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Lightning | 72c | 2,222$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Lightning | 72c | 2,028$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Lightning | 72c | 2,016$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Lightning | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.94 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Kraken | 51c | 1,965$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.61 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kraken | 28c | 1,900$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.51 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Lightning | 72c | 1,800$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Lightning | 72c | 1,775$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 71c | 1,745$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.84 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Lightning | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.13 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Kraken | 67c | 1,700$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3c…6f23backed Lightning | 72c | 1,685$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Kraken | 31c | 1,612$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.84 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…6886backed Lightning | 72c | 1,607$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Lightning | 67c | 1,600$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.5 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Kraken | 29c | 1,552$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.72 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Lightning | 64c | 1,509$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.99 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…81c7backed Lightning | 1c | 1,504$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Lightning | 72c | 1,485$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.2 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Lightning | 3c | 1,473$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kraken | 33c | 1,459$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.53 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lightning | 57c | 1,455$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.03 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Lightning | 72c | 1,440$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.8 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…6861backed Lightning | 72c | 1,424$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Kraken | 47c | 1,388$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.98 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94fc…7162backed Lightning | 72c | 1,356$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…f74dbacked Lightning | 72c | 1,250$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 71c | 1,234$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.14 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Lightning | 72c | 1,227$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.76 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Lightning | 1c | 1,208$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Lightning | 71c | 1,177$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.62 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lightning | 67c | 1,169$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.81 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kraken | 29c | 1,142$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.8 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Lightning | 60c | 1,105$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.71 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 69c | 1,087$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.63 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Lightning | 50c | 1,086$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.58 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Lightning | 72c | 1,065$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Lightning | 71c | 1,056$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Kraken | 40c | 1,026$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.62 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lightning | 71c | 1,005$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.09 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kraken | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lightning | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Kraken | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Lightning | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Lightning | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…db0bbacked Lightning | 4c | 999.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Lightning | 71c | 978$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.38 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Kraken | 50c | 922.84$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.38 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Lightning | 2c | 870.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Lightning | 58c | 861.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.73 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Lightning | 71c | 799.95$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.97 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Lightningthis page
- Kraken vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.