NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38030030f4660f4c63573b50f020ca1c2cff125ce9ac2e2c616dcd509648e19f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,141,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,199,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,141,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Penguins | 48c | 261,377$124,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124,246.97 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Senators | 53c | 250,000$132,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,499.84 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Senators | 52c | 96,959$50,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,170.32 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Senators | 53c | 80,000$42,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,600 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Penguins | 47c | 59,600$28,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,011.92 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Senators | 49c | 51,216$25,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,959.88 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Senators | 50c | 34,603$17,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,301.47 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Penguins | 48c | 33,477$15,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,943.18 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Senators | 54c | 33,384$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,384.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 46c | 29,555$13,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,633.64 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Penguins | 48c | 21,997$10,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,578.51 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Penguins | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Penguins | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…1449backed Penguins | 49c | 20,000$9,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,739.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Penguins | 47c | 18,215$8,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,632.76 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 47c | 17,314$8,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,196.2 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…dab7backed Senators | 54c | 16,002$8,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,360.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penguins | 52c | 15,887$8,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,211.44 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…a4efbacked Penguins | 46c | 15,777$7,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,257.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Penguins | 52c | 15,106$7,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,825.03 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…e243backed Penguins | 65c | 14,395$9,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,349.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Penguins | 47c | 14,129$6,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,640.61 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Penguins | 47c | 13,691$6,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,435 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Penguins | 47c | 12,090$5,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,659.13 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Senators | 53c | 11,636$6,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,469.15 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Senators | 53c | 10,645$5,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,003.1 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Senators | 52c | 9,462$4,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,541.76 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Senators | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Senators | 51c | 9,306$4,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.83 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Senators | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Penguins | 51c | 7,852$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.27 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 53c | 7,521$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970.14 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Penguins | 47c | 6,984$3,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.47 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Penguins | 48c | 6,715$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Penguins | 46c | 6,696$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.16 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Senators | 48c | 6,672$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.31 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Penguins | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Senators | 53c | 6,372$3,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.84 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 35c | 6,282$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,087.46 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Senators | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Penguins | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Senators | 57c | 5,883$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.99 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Penguins | 47c | 5,745$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Penguins | 46c | 5,583$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.24 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Senators | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.76 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Penguins | 48c | 5,410$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.36 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Senators | 48c | 5,182$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.61 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Senators | 48c | 5,175$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Penguins | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Senators | 35c | 4,995$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,246.84 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 52c | 4,663$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.34 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Senators | 54c | 4,650$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206d…b96cbacked Senators | 53c | 4,140$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Penguins | 51c | 4,120$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.2 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penguins | 45c | 4,008$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.75 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Penguins | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.95 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Penguins | 39c | 3,991$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.59 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 48c | 3,924$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.43 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Penguins | 46c | 3,865$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.91 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 50c | 3,619$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.46 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Senators | 56c | 3,481$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.42 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Penguins | 41c | 3,458$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.74 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Penguins | 47c | 3,417$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.63 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Senators | 38c | 3,393$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.65 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Senators | 53c | 3,265$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.78 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Senators | 48c | 3,060$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.31 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Penguins | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Senators | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Penguins | 47c | 2,820$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.36 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Penguins | 49c | 2,782$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.16 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Penguins | 47c | 2,750$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Senators | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…c210backed Penguins | 47c | 2,367$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Penguins | 48c | 2,176$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.64 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Senators | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.98 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Penguins | 48c | 2,077$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.94 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Senators | 48c | 2,068$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.27 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Senators | 54c | 2,037$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.04 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Senators | 49c | 2,012$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.24 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…0e15backed Penguins | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Penguins | 30c | 1,910$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.74 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Penguins | 47c | 1,881$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Senators | 54c | 1,880$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.13 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Senators | 53c | 1,878$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.06 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Senators | 77c | 1,847$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.47 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1e…4365backed Senators | 38c | 1,839$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…fbbdbacked Senators | 50c | 1,798$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…e6a5backed Penguins | 63c | 1,750$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.49 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Penguins | 48c | 1,665$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.47 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x176b…8023backed Penguins | 51c | 1,655$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Penguins | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Senators | 39c | 1,593$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.45 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Penguins | 47c | 1,577$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked Senators | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Senators | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Penguins | 46c | 1,445$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.7 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Penguins | 50c | 1,400$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Senators | 59c | 1,381$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.77 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Penguins | 47c | 1,353$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Senators | 74c | 1,336$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Penguinsthis page
- Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Senators won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.