NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10d8ac66e96a54d03156cc25b2033382444aa7c2832193fadf0c8d538bd4c871
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Canadiens, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,000,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,000,736 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Ducks | 50c | 139,844$69,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,922.34 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Canadiens | 51c | 122,368$62,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,190.68 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Ducks | 54c | 34,260$18,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,806.63 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Canadiens | 51c | 32,053$16,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,346.72 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Canadiens | 50c | 25,294$12,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,653.88 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Ducks | 53c | 24,469$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,468.82 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Canadiens | 51c | 22,000$11,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,220 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Canadiens | 46c | 20,005$9,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,202.24 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Ducks | 49c | 19,365$9,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,876.42 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 48c | 16,839$8,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,753.58 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Ducks | 49c | 16,525$8,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,427.68 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Ducks | 49c | 16,490$8,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,409.99 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Canadiens | 51c | 16,155$8,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,239.34 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens | 50c | 14,855$7,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,398.78 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Ducks | 69c | 11,638$8,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.23 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Ducks | 51c | 10,926$5,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,353.85 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Ducks | 51c | 9,508$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,637.81 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens | 50c | 8,570$4,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,285.18 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 51c | 8,227$4,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,011.08 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Ducks | 63c | 8,124$5,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.66 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 49c | 7,504$3,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.49 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canadiens | 47c | 7,272$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.04 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ducks | 49c | 7,151$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,647.01 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Ducks | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Ducks | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Canadiens | 46c | 6,165$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.82 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Canadiens | 51c | 6,103$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.32 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.99 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Canadiens | 47c | 5,862$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.03 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Ducks | 49c | 5,433$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Canadiens | 47c | 5,278$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.22 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ducks | 53c | 5,040$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.19 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Canadiens | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Canadiens | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Canadiens | 49c | 4,999$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.6 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Canadiens | 50c | 4,934$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.02 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Canadiens | 51c | 4,813$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.18 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Canadiens | 29c | 4,752$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.38 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Canadiens | 48c | 4,378$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.99 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Ducks | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Canadiens | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Canadiens | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 51c | 3,833$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.67 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Ducks | 49c | 3,794$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.97 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Ducks | 51c | 3,259$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.42 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Ducks | 52c | 3,170$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.56 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 48c | 3,059$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.64 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Ducks | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Canadiens | 50c | 3,000$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.84 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Ducks | 50c | 2,750$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 57c | 2,639$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.2 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Canadiens | 48c | 2,528$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.86 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Ducks | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.2 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Canadiens | 50c | 2,500$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.85 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc184…1b61backed Ducks | 51c | 2,469$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Canadiens | 39c | 2,423$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.96 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2087…c0aabacked Canadiens | 50c | 2,288$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Canadiens | 51c | 2,217$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.96 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canadiens | 50c | 2,148$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.51 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Ducks | 50c | 2,133$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.91 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Canadiens | 51c | 2,041$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.82 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Ducks | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ducks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Canadiens | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Canadiens | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.97 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Canadiens | 50c | 2,000$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.39 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Canadiens | 48c | 1,940$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.2 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Canadiens | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Canadiens | 51c | 1,790$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.24 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Canadiens | 52c | 1,725$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Ducks | 53c | 1,571$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.51 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Ducks | 49c | 1,552$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.52 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ducks | 48c | 1,529$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.77 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Ducks | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Canadiens | 51c | 1,469$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.19 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Canadiens | 14c | 1,445$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.6 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Canadiens | 51c | 1,430$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.3 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Ducks | 52c | 1,238$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.06 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Canadiens | 47c | 1,231$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.03 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Ducks | 69c | 1,221$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.55 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,215$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.88 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ad…3da6backed Ducks | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…5a3fbacked Canadiens | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c7…8b23backed Ducks | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…4182backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c96…395fbacked Ducks | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7222…fbfabacked Canadiens | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…44a8backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,195$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbf…dd66backed Ducks | 50c | 1,195$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd579…65e3backed Ducks | 50c | 1,190$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37a…cf75backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,190$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…707dbacked Canadiens | 50c | 1,185$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f9…692bbacked Ducks | 50c | 1,185$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d5…eb49backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,185$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a9…51b4backed Ducks | 50c | 1,185$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc66…bba6backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,180$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1b…d534backed Ducks | 50c | 1,180$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…0d17backed Ducks | 50c | 1,180$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…28babacked Ducks | 50c | 1,180$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Ducksthis page
- Canadiens vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Ducks won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.