NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x114dc1d32d0fd543bf0260c2e11ceb7147e4cabd6b5e3dcd80d485deb871659b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,611 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 44c | 36,792$16,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,356.48 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 56c | 36,612$20,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,150.05 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 46c | 14,384$6,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,572.88 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…da92backed Over | 60c | 13,384$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,383.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 55c | 10,000$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,539.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 58c | 8,537$4,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.53 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…0c8dbacked Under | 44c | 7,756$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 54c | 7,751$4,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565.3 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 41c | 7,397$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.91 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 55c | 6,962$3,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.77 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 6,372$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.01 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Under | 43c | 6,000$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.95 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 5,916$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.84 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 44c | 4,500$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.89 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.99 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 59c | 3,391$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.37 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 57c | 2,943$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.49 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 54c | 2,771$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.02 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 45c | 2,222$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.61 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 45c | 1,822$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 43c | 1,775$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.21 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 54c | 1,710$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.6 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 46c | 1,620$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.2 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 55c | 1,423$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.42 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 44c | 1,300$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 57c | 1,257$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.97 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 43c | 1,158$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 46c | 946$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.16 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 58c | 912$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.8 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 42c | 706.28$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.82 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Over | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 46c | 535$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.1 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 55c | 534.95$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…c727backed Over | 57c | 463.19$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 46c | 444$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 57c | 436$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.48 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 45c | 409.56$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.3 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 45c | 408.28$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.73 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…7af7backed Under | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…71d9backed Over | 57c | 386.28$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 44c | 354$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.76 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 42c | 344$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ba…e89abacked Over | 58c | 343.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Under | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adc…84ecbacked Over | 58c | 319.84$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 44c | 303.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…012bbacked Over | 55c | 302.56$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 44c | 294.63$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…a07dbacked Under | 46c | 293.26$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 67c | 235.95$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Over | 56c | 228.32$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 481 | 57.2%275 W · 206 L | +21.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e56…114dbacked Under | 46c | 226.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…7362backed Over | 55c | 217.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 23c | 215.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Over | 57c | 177.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…9b74backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Over | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 59c | 169.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 46c | 159.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 56c | 159.09$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 43c | 157$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 41c | 150.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 57c | 146.75$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Over | 59c | 145.27$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 321 | 55.5%178 W · 143 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…bc50backed Over | 55c | 145.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf4…4cf8backed Under | 46c | 137.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Over | 57c | 137.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…3468backed Under | 46c | 134.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5e…da36backed Over | 55c | 126.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…98b7backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…f80dbacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 56c | 99.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Over | 59c | 99.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 243 | 52.3%127 W · 116 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…c759backed Over | 57c | 99.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Under | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…2fcfbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…c578backed Over | 57c | 87.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee53…7d97backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 57c | 86.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…8283backed Over | 57c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 18c | 84.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5this page
- Canadiens vs. DucksDucks won
- Canadiens vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Ducks won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.