NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xece19a0e19f7af75e7a389d27503ccdeaf9c6b066775f1a942beeb7f4d931df4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $913,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $923,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $913,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 501,580$255,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245,779.98 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 350,000$171,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,500 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 51c | 100,000$50,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,856.73 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 70,000$34,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,300 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 52c | 61,744$31,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,763.95 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 47,518$24,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,930.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 49c | 40,816$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 29,118$13,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,469.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 46c | 26,880$12,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,359.66 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…cddebacked Over | 56c | 20,894$11,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,245.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 48c | 19,454$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 53c | 17,823$9,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,308.44 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 14,618$6,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,998.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…ef56backed Over | 54c | 13,039$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,039.49 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 48c | 12,419$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 49c | 11,993$5,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,116.61 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 10,540$5,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,032.84 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Under | 47c | 9,550$4,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,488.5 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 9,264$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,694.36 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 47c | 7,731$3,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,605.84 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 46c | 7,096$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 6,815$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,455.72 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 48c | 6,298$3,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,023.04 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 49c | 5,875$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 45c | 5,529$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Over | 51c | 4,354$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.68 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 52c | 4,254$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.64 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 48c | 4,225$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.31 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under | 49c | 3,897$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.56 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Under | 48c | 3,729$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 49c | 3,137$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.72 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 2,932$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.97 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 2,759$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.16 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 48c | 2,568$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.55 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 52c | 2,241$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.68 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Under | 44c | 2,100$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 1,983$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.18 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 1,957$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 54c | 1,921$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.54 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 52c | 1,615$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.38 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Under | 48c | 1,560$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 47c | 1,500$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Under | 52c | 1,444$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.12 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,252$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 1,221$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.77 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 1,220$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.6 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Under | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.83 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.8 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 49c | 1,008$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.8 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Under | 50c | 1,000$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Over | 55c | 918.18$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.18 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 916.4$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.36 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 45c | 903.75$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.69 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 868.87$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.81 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 49c | 804.92$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.51 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Over | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 51c | 720.39$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.4 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 50c | 701.39$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.54 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under | 52c | 681.87$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.57 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 52c | 635$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.8 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over | 50c | 590$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 589.89$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.75 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 46c | 424.35$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.74 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 46c | 390$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Over | 52c | 382.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.94 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ba…e89abacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…7a41backed Under | 52c | 355.27$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.74 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Over | 54c | 334.64$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.93 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…b098backed Over | 49c | 314.76$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.53 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Over | 53c | 313.58$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.38 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 48c | 287.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Under | 51c | 286$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 260.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 52c | 258.94$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 47c | 252.57$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 249.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 49c | 243.35$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Under | 52c | 235.75$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…8354backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 61c | 202.35$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5this page
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.