TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,821

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,821 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over54c44,174$23,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,400.7587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under44c21,024$9,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,309.322,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over54c15,757$8,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,311.091,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c15,568$6,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,826.332,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over54c11,043$5,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,076.819,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c10,933$5,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3572,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under49c10,194$4,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,994.8827747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under49c5,516$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,702.831,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under44c4,943$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.333,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under44c3,660$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.2124942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under27c3,584$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.063,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under45c3,032$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.324,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed Over52c3,000$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.211358.4%66 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over70c2,570$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.21,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over56c2,400$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.9833146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c2,395$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.484,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c2,392$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.938,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Under43c2,200$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.898348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over51c2,177$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07018536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked Under46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002944.8%13 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under46c2,090$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.871547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over63c2,057$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.2312844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Over53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7912051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under49c1,766$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.533,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed Under46c1,204$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5543737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Under43c1,162$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.6493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under44c1,100$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.9880737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under46c1,090$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.471449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under42c1,077$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.081,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under45c1,018$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.1954747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over56c1,000$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.6113464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Over55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.095468.5%37 W · 17 L+9.4wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+30%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Over67c873$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.810156.4%57 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over55c786$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.652,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over61c653.74$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.193,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under47c571$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.181,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under46c569.99$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.22,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over73c500$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7226149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23522846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under46c473$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5840146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under41c470.87$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.463,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Under45c420.81$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.6912549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19284150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1633150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6419145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Over53c356.68$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.648041.3%33 W · 47 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb781…0adcbacked Over58c341$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.225052%26 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Over56c321.64$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5210255.9%57 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under43c272.72$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.172,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over60c258.74$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.741,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under29c242.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9955846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under36c223.37$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.924330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over68c206.43$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Over56c206.15$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8527052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8666645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c200$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6853453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under40c182.03$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.255,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over51c181.01$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under44c177.4$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.062,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4428554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4841…c90fbacked Under45c169.62$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.92922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over54c149.08$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5821645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over63c148$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5232952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6746…70e1backed Under46c131.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.983330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over60c130$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5211650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under46c128$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8653945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under46c127.17$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.554246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Over55c109.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5714557.9%84 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610069%69 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe09c…d04fbacked Over51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.033852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under46c94.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4762541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under49c92.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5353043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0674…2034backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a39…031abacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912552%13 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe726…958ebacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under20c89.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8330616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Over62c89$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ad…b1bebacked Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.752853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under46c77.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4833653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66cc…c578backed Under46c65.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over53c61.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.750948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4a4…88d6backed Over56c58.58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over56c55.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.781,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Over61c55.22$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5449358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Under46c54.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2547852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aee…51a8backed Under46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under45c49.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4117155.6%95 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e95…4183backed Over62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.391346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc22…7e8abacked Under46c46.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over61c46.4$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9765542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Under50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2214751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Under45c43.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.995350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Under41c42.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5310642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea8e…414abacked Under45c42.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5cf…4f00backed Over55c41.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.831942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Under45c41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.456753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8dc…f75cbacked Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.91369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.