NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5c4e9306d5a2e5b963ed0f96057f700cb61f88149257ed6dbe18e76ec994704
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 54c | 44,174$23,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,400.75 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 44c | 21,024$9,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,309.32 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 54c | 15,757$8,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,311.09 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 15,568$6,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,826.33 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 11,043$5,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,076.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 10,933$5,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,357 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 49c | 10,194$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,994.88 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 5,516$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.83 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 4,943$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.33 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 44c | 3,660$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.21 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 27c | 3,584$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 3,032$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.2 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 70c | 2,570$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.2 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 56c | 2,400$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.98 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 2,395$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 2,392$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Under | 43c | 2,200$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.89 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 51c | 2,177$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 46c | 2,090$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over | 63c | 2,057$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.23 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 49c | 1,766$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.53 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Under | 46c | 1,204$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Under | 43c | 1,162$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.64 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 44c | 1,100$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.98 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 46c | 1,090$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.4 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 42c | 1,077$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.08 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 45c | 1,018$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.19 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 56c | 1,000$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.61 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Over | 67c | 873$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.8 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 786$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.65 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 61c | 653.74$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.19 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 47c | 571$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.18 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 46c | 569.99$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 73c | 500$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.72 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 46c | 473$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 470.87$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.46 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Under | 45c | 420.81$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.69 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Over | 53c | 356.68$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.64 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…0adcbacked Over | 58c | 341$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Over | 56c | 321.64$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.52 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 43c | 272.72$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 60c | 258.74$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.74 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 29c | 242.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 36c | 223.37$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 68c | 206.43$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Over | 56c | 206.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.85 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 40c | 182.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 51c | 181.01$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 44c | 177.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4841…c90fbacked Under | 45c | 169.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 54c | 149.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 63c | 148$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…70e1backed Under | 46c | 131.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 46c | 128$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 46c | 127.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Over | 55c | 109.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…d04fbacked Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 46c | 94.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 49c | 92.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…2034backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…031abacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…958ebacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 20c | 89.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…2669backed Over | 62c | 89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…b1bebacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 46c | 77.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…c578backed Under | 46c | 65.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 53c | 61.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…88d6backed Over | 56c | 58.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 56c | 55.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 61c | 55.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Under | 46c | 54.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 45c | 49.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…4183backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc22…7e8abacked Under | 46c | 46.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 61c | 46.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Under | 45c | 43.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Under | 41c | 42.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…414abacked Under | 45c | 42.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…4f00backed Over | 55c | 41.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 45c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…f75cbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5this page
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.