TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,799
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,799 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4b9f…e125backed Under49c25,000$12,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,250.0711252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c20,537$9,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,618.629,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Under49c19,189$9,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,402.87240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Over51c10,106$5,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,958.0724045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Under49c8,040$3,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,939.611653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under53c7,284$3,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,825.92,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c6,614$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.834,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over51c4,971$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,435.5937747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over51c4,904$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.1742648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under53c4,104$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,175.3676249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe256…1f43backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.571163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.1541649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Over51c3,519$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.5119445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c3,490$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.094,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43ab…b6ffbacked Under56c3,333$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.338555.3%47 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Under54c3,095$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.2915349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c2,993$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.274,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c2,852$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.653,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over53c2,830$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.191,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over52c2,368$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.412,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over47c2,166$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.9624847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over51c2,101$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.4944352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.991,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c1,971$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.472,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over49c1,966$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.582,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x307c…aca6backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.081560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Under50c1,900$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9509733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over51c1,765$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.7132150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d30…4c07backed Under49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c1,458$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93e7…cc0cbacked Under55c1,094$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006352.4%33 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under53c1,007$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.9471547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over45c997.63$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.371,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Over50c808.95$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.482572%18 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c800$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39680737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over48c788.06$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.92,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over54c763.12$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.73,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c742.72$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.185,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over52c741.69$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.6938750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over46c621.09$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.3971449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Over74c564.07$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.1424846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1f…c6adbacked Over52c538$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.245950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over52c501.36$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.553,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under51c450$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.561740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed Under52c398.49$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.275749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under54c387.5$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.8815844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under52c315$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.81,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over72c257.94$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3165542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Under17c245$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.628616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c235.29$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.292,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2263447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10059144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over46c193.7$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4395047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under55c191$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.022,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf6…0ed7backed Under57c176.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-72.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Under53c156.6$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over72c150.98$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.921,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over49c144.01$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under37c132.61$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.824330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over62c130.15$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.811,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Under16c125.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209430.9%29 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x898f…131fbacked Under12c117.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141822.2%4 W · 14 L-5.6wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-63.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under55c114$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.341,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Under29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Over65c96.46$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0519050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over71c90$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.11,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6746…70e1backed Over47c87.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.663330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over47c87.48$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4766646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c87.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.575,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over47c83.01$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.252,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Over49c81.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7718031.7%57 W · 123 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9211651.7%60 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over39c75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7555846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d9c…4bb6backed Under45c73.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.985565.5%36 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under54c65.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9955751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under52c64.59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9133653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Under54c63.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9313850%69 W · 69 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7a…737bbacked Over49c61.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.116043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3040048.3%193 W · 207 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under44c59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.862,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over51c57.31$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2657657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over49c56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.751,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over74c49.8$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1476653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under52c48.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.221,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf096…3692backed Under56c48.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.22616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-68.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under45c45.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7653149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe974…bb41backed Over47c42.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.36850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edc…55ecbacked Over46c41.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.12875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under50c39.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014557.9%84 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c39.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.233,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Under54c39.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2517750.8%90 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f3…12ffbacked Under54c38.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4640960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c37.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.443,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Under37c36.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5827548.7%134 W · 141 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bd…515fbacked Under55c35.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.721637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8778…73febacked Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.