NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbb398733b5323d4cfc5836cc41fc86410c7543d6c17c0185184a60de76a98b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Under | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250.07 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 20,537$9,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,618.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Under | 49c | 19,189$9,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,402.8 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Over | 51c | 10,106$5,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,958.07 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Under | 49c | 8,040$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.6 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 53c | 7,284$3,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825.9 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 6,614$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.83 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 51c | 4,971$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.59 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 51c | 4,904$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.17 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 53c | 4,104$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.36 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1f43backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Over | 51c | 3,519$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.51 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 3,490$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Under | 56c | 3,333$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.33 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 54c | 3,095$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.29 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 2,993$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 2,852$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.65 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 2,368$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.41 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 47c | 2,166$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.96 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 51c | 2,101$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.49 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 1,971$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.47 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 1,966$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.58 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307c…aca6backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Under | 50c | 1,900$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Over | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.71 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…4c07backed Under | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 1,458$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Under | 55c | 1,094$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 53c | 1,007$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.94 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 45c | 997.63$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.37 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…1405backed Over | 50c | 808.95$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.48 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 800$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 48c | 788.06$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.9 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 54c | 763.12$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.7 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 742.72$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.18 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 52c | 741.69$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.69 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 46c | 621.09$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.39 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 74c | 564.07$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.14 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1f…c6adbacked Over | 52c | 538$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.24 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 501.36$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.55 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 450$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…7f42backed Under | 52c | 398.49$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.27 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 54c | 387.5$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.88 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 315$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 72c | 257.94$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.31 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Under | 17c | 245$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 235.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 46c | 193.7$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 55c | 191$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…0ed7backed Under | 57c | 176.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Under | 53c | 156.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 72c | 150.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 49c | 144.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 37c | 132.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 62c | 130.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Under | 16c | 125.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…131fbacked Under | 12c | 117.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.6wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 55c | 114$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…2669backed Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 65c | 96.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…70e1backed Over | 47c | 87.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 47c | 87.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 87.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 83.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 49c | 81.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9c…4bb6backed Under | 45c | 73.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 54c | 65.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 52c | 64.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Under | 54c | 63.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…737bbacked Over | 49c | 61.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 44c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 51c | 57.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 49c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 74c | 49.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 52c | 48.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf096…3692backed Under | 56c | 48.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 45c | 45.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…bb41backed Over | 47c | 42.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edc…55ecbacked Over | 46c | 41.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 50c | 39.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 39.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 54c | 39.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…12ffbacked Under | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 37.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 37c | 36.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…515fbacked Under | 55c | 35.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5this page
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.