TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group D

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, BASEMENT BOYS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,125
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,125 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdcaf…c830backed BASEMENT BOYS0c18,669$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed BASEMENT BOYS12c6,000$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.7450833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked BASEMENT BOYS21c4,581$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.63,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked BASEMENT BOYS10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d3…7034backed BASEMENT BOYS25c1,982$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8544…78abbacked BASEMENT BOYS28c1,658$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BASEMENT BOYS25c1,341$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.135,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ NXT53c1,260$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.533,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x563e…3392backed MOUZ NXT72c1,217$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.76560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6255…d51abacked BASEMENT BOYS28c1,217$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ NXT61c1,100$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.822,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked BASEMENT BOYS20c1,050$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20627530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7985…982fbacked BASEMENT BOYS29c910$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x156e…66aebacked BASEMENT BOYS29c860$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked MOUZ NXT66c842.51$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.5921737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ae…412ebacked MOUZ NXT72c812$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x527c…65eebacked BASEMENT BOYS29c684$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…3592backed MOUZ NXT71c640$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.6540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61a3…bfcdbacked BASEMENT BOYS29c603$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked BASEMENT BOYS14c600$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8128644.1%126 W · 160 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec1…cb69backed BASEMENT BOYS29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6676…ea7dbacked BASEMENT BOYS29c589$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad7f…f819backed BASEMENT BOYS29c586$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed MOUZ NXT71c559.49$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2584958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed BASEMENT BOYS8c533.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0633237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d3d…afd9backed MOUZ NXT71c490$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed BASEMENT BOYS50c475$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.8762350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed MOUZ NXT73c465$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12716450.6%83 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc472…bfb9backed MOUZ NXT72c441$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed BASEMENT BOYS9c438.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.496328.6%18 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a22…7f1cbacked MOUZ NXT71c433$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa4…34e5backed BASEMENT BOYS67c411.76$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcff2…9ef0backed MOUZ NXT72c405$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeebf…065ebacked BASEMENT BOYS52c381.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aff…162abacked MOUZ NXT71c370$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9159…9d0fbacked MOUZ NXT70c365.99$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe30d…c0e8backed MOUZ NXT53c352.52$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4061…38cdbacked BASEMENT BOYS45c335.79$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcafd…da48backed MOUZ NXT71c330$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7026…3f1bbacked MOUZ NXT63c322.71$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.47366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed BASEMENT BOYS22c311.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.821,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff1…99d2backed MOUZ NXT71c311$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.194100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed MOUZ NXT66c303.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8313144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked BASEMENT BOYS9c299.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1466034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed BASEMENT BOYS50c298.27$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7112752%66 W · 61 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x328d…4557backed MOUZ NXT71c295$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.554100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe869…c67abacked MOUZ NXT71c294$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e5…4669backed MOUZ NXT71c294$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.26450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccaa…38a2backed MOUZ NXT71c292$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.684100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1201…0924backed MOUZ NXT71c292$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0627…f5c5backed BASEMENT BOYS15c279.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.161526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a2…ccbebacked BASEMENT BOYS12c278.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabc…0ea3backed MOUZ NXT71c270$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick72cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d9…6f2ebacked MOUZ NXT71c270$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ NXT72c252.67$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7597040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc8…d816backed MOUZ NXT71c251$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked BASEMENT BOYS6c240$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4127947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked MOUZ NXT75c235.02$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7512637.3%47 W · 79 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed MOUZ NXT54c233.66$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5892152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42af…15f7backed MOUZ NXT80c223.37$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.963951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked BASEMENT BOYS28c204$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.122321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fe…54f8backed MOUZ NXT68c201.83$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.357843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked BASEMENT BOYS5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed BASEMENT BOYS10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed MOUZ NXT66c181.82$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.829433%31 W · 63 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed BASEMENT BOYS37c174.78$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.47520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked BASEMENT BOYS10c168.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.882254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked BASEMENT BOYS34c166$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4426553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a0…b370backed BASEMENT BOYS13c147.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf2…6373backed MOUZ NXT69c144.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.136861.8%42 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked BASEMENT BOYS24c131.95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.146129.5%18 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed BASEMENT BOYS16c130.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3320243.6%88 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa58f…fd67backed MOUZ NXT76c127$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.785343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ae…91d0backed BASEMENT BOYS8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca3…1fe0backed BASEMENT BOYS10c119.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe61f…258dbacked MOUZ NXT75c112$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43c8…0551backed MOUZ NXT36c105$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.27627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked MOUZ NXT64c104.47$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.22458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x728a…a75cbacked BASEMENT BOYS27c102.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.311526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed BASEMENT BOYS50c100.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024038.3%92 W · 148 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked BASEMENT BOYS52c89.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.522948.3%14 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed MOUZ NXT76c88.9$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.549243.5%40 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked MOUZ NXT73c78.47$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4714950.3%75 W · 74 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed MOUZ NXT68c78.16$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6729153.6%156 W · 135 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef4b…f8babacked BASEMENT BOYS15c71.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.071040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b7…2fc7backed MOUZ NXT57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0143442.2%183 W · 251 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b0…8bc6backed BASEMENT BOYS15c67.77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-37.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked MOUZ NXT60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6765662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed MOUZ NXT71c63.6$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2729350.2%147 W · 146 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a2…d820backed MOUZ NXT71c61.91$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.213452.9%18 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-16.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x498b…ca86backed MOUZ NXT66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6120659.2%122 W · 84 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6760…3ad4backed MOUZ NXT73c60.47$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.331369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6506…bc9cbacked MOUZ NXT45c58.82$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ae…1464backed MOUZ NXT63c57.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.39875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed MOUZ NXT50c57.12$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5618543.2%80 W · 105 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed BASEMENT BOYS24c56.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6819843.9%87 W · 111 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed MOUZ NXT72c55.44$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.446258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked MOUZ NXT55c55.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1311246.4%52 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed MOUZ NXT55c55.04$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5341054.6%224 W · 186 L+29.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x503f…ec57backed MOUZ NXT64c54.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.