Earnings · resolved market
Will United Bankshares (UBSI) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7549396592e41db88045fbf77e20f9ae3797381a907909cd173c07c86bd20e6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7463…972dbacked No | 1c | 2,253$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 24c | 1,547$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.99 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 70c | 676.06$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.76 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4653backed No | 30c | 450.2$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.89 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed Yes | 65c | 351.57$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.01 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 76c | 244.51$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed Yes | 66c | 240$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 74c | 203$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 77c | 107$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…6dd7backed Yes | 77c | 84.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked No | 34c | 82.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…3b81backed Yes | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Yes | 72c | 78.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 170 | 64.1%109 W · 61 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 66c | 78.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 80c | 72.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed Yes | 80c | 61.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Yes | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe000…cbb1backed No | 34c | 51.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | +22.4wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa246…796fbacked Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9635…6863backed Yes | 76c | 33.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c9…60c5backed Yes | 76c | 20.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 68c | 16.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7512…68dfbacked Yes | 76c | 15.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.