NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac2447be8d77fe35c1b11471c288f1573c2ac5c6d0f8000262fe4e2d16d68d2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $667,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $677,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $667,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 537,079$273,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263,218.79 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 350,000$171,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,500 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 150,000$73,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,500 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 49c | 20,690$10,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,135.35 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 17,485$8,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,270.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Over | 51c | 15,308$7,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,447.63 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 51c | 12,624$6,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,185.63 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 49c | 11,937$5,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.13 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 49c | 11,111$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.39 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Under | 49c | 10,470$5,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,080.84 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 53c | 9,339$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,389.45 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 6,393$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.08 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 50c | 5,963$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.97 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 4,437$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.38 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 55c | 3,722$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.99 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 51c | 3,282$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 3,237$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.65 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…5ce3backed Under | 47c | 3,232$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 56c | 3,124$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.86 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 2,781$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Under | 43c | 2,281$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.76 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 66c | 2,190$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.24 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 2,067$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.7 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 2,031$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.49 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…0e29backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf3…b3dcbacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd79b…c10dbacked Under | 47c | 1,888$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 55c | 1,868$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.5 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 1,758$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…b409backed Over | 53c | 1,388$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…76efbacked Over | 53c | 1,355$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Under | 35c | 1,348$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Over | 53c | 1,330$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.19 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…7b44backed Over | 53c | 1,230$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c7…5a46backed Over | 53c | 1,221$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ac…19dcbacked Over | 53c | 1,220$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…222dbacked Over | 53c | 1,111$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5890…2abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,050$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,019$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.04 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…f78fbacked Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb6…9c79backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 921.91$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.87 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bc…9dcfbacked Over | 53c | 866$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…591fbacked Over | 51c | 817.65$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 45c | 801.6$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.83 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 782.22$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.25 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 48c | 711.33$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.44 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Over | 57c | 691.23$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 45c | 686.07$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.14 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…bd2abacked Over | 54c | 570$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.2 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…aae8backed Over | 53c | 545$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 51c | 530$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.3 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…e83ebacked Under | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 507.09$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.35 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Over | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…88d6backed Under | 50c | 465.12$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 47c | 427.1$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.82 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Over | 53c | 408.66$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.07 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Over | 53c | 377$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Under | 51c | 376.47$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Over | 53c | 347.17$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 48c | 334.5$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.56 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 57c | 328.07$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.07 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 56c | 304.05$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.78 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Under | 51c | 296.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 54c | 279.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 31c | 264.18$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.41 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 53c | 226.4$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Over | 48c | 209$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.77 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…8194backed Under | 47c | 205$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Under | 50c | 200.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 195$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed0…c618backed Under | 48c | 193.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Over | 52c | 190.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ba…e89abacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…4d91backed Under | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5this page
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Wizards won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Wizards vs. PistonsWizards won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.