NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18956b5625ef511d40c0a83ee1954c6df658623c2c02a801d80bed32c51431a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Pistons, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $611,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $646,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $611,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,999.9 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Pistons | 54c | 75,000$40,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,499.96 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wizards | 46c | 70,610$32,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,129.27 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Wizards | 47c | 50,490$23,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,759.7 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons | 54c | 42,609$23,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,121.6 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Pistons | 50c | 25,003$12,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,501.46 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Wizards | 47c | 22,319$10,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,829.15 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Wizards | 43c | 21,600$9,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,338.7 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Wizards | 48c | 20,482$9,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,556.18 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Wizards | 47c | 15,097$7,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,946.19 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 46c | 14,088$6,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,619.21 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Wizards | 68c | 11,534$7,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.09 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 47c | 11,302$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,021.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 54c | 10,815$5,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,806.57 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons | 58c | 10,671$6,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,178.02 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Pistons | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 26c | 9,956$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 46c | 9,481$4,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,114.32 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef68…5733backed Wizards | 47c | 6,932$3,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,673.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…2626backed Wizards | 52c | 6,572$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42f…b09dbacked Wizards | 52c | 6,416$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…c6cbbacked Wizards | 52c | 6,292$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4524…ba58backed Pistons | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…2316backed Pistons | 48c | 5,840$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b3…336cbacked Wizards | 52c | 5,800$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d39…425cbacked Pistons | 48c | 5,776$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b4…e433backed Wizards | 52c | 5,726$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Wizards | 43c | 5,700$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…d9f6backed Wizards | 52c | 5,618$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…91f1backed Wizards | 52c | 5,590$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…9a89backed Wizards | 52c | 5,448$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…d87fbacked Wizards | 52c | 5,430$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…a4bbbacked Wizards | 52c | 5,412$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218f…e3abbacked Wizards | 52c | 5,334$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd67…8149backed Wizards | 52c | 5,326$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…7aefbacked Wizards | 52c | 5,306$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…696abacked Pistons | 48c | 5,144$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Pistons | 28c | 5,087$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.8 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Pistons | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…eb68backed Wizards | 52c | 5,082$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a8…d9fcbacked Wizards | 52c | 5,070$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Wizards | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…8d09backed Wizards | 52c | 4,928$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d8…138dbacked Wizards | 52c | 4,896$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Pistons | 57c | 4,871$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.61 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…8194backed Pistons | 48c | 4,870$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f0…0410backed Pistons | 48c | 4,854$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…8f39backed Wizards | 52c | 4,812$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2703…af6abacked Pistons | 48c | 4,784$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x065b…afaebacked Pistons | 48c | 4,650$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…e2dabacked Pistons | 48c | 4,570$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…9226backed Wizards | 52c | 4,562$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…58fdbacked Pistons | 48c | 4,560$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…9ddbbacked Wizards | 52c | 4,344$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…283bbacked Pistons | 48c | 4,344$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…adc3backed Pistons | 48c | 4,330$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…4d91backed Pistons | 48c | 4,296$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc0…e611backed Pistons | 48c | 4,172$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…af59backed Wizards | 49c | 4,111$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Pistons | 55c | 4,089$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.83 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaf…c76cbacked Pistons | 48c | 3,944$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3dc…38f8backed Pistons | 48c | 3,748$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d8…466dbacked Pistons | 48c | 3,590$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d09…01a8backed Pistons | 48c | 3,510$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons | 56c | 3,465$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.4 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d52…8ab8backed Pistons | 48c | 3,438$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…12a5backed Pistons | 48c | 3,422$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…fb2dbacked Wizards | 52c | 3,412$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4f…3569backed Pistons | 48c | 3,320$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…0db9backed Pistons | 48c | 3,296$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb032…11dabacked Pistons | 48c | 3,200$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041d…a22abacked Pistons | 48c | 3,174$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e9…a5c9backed Pistons | 48c | 3,054$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…4c40backed Pistons | 48c | 3,026$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 53c | 2,964$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Wizards | 50c | 2,855$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.5 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Wizards | 47c | 2,720$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.6 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 46c | 2,659$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.17 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bc…9dcfbacked Pistons | 48c | 2,540$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5b…bb58backed Pistons | 48c | 2,463$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…b9eabacked Wizards | 52c | 2,233$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Wizards | 44c | 2,172$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.32 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…1276backed Pistons | 48c | 2,122$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 10c | 2,057$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.28 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f73…7d69backed Wizards | 52c | 2,051$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7266…6bc4backed Pistons | 48c | 2,049$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…5e6dbacked Pistons | 48c | 2,044$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wizards | 47c | 2,037$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.39 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…1fe2backed Wizards | 52c | 2,033$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…580dbacked Pistons | 48c | 2,031$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…081abacked Wizards | 52c | 2,026$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…9428backed Pistons | 48c | 2,025$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2372…48a6backed Wizards | 52c | 2,022$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3411…c9ffbacked Wizards | 52c | 2,011$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c84…e623backed Pistons | 48c | 2,011$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…b965backed Pistons | 48c | 2,002$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…6406backed Wizards | 52c | 2,001$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Wizards | 46c | 2,000$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.76 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…5797backed Pistons | 48c | 1,987$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)this page
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Wizards won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Wizards vs. PistonsWizards won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.