NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7db35d15ea765770885f6d926adcb23c7b2e9984c48a223b7a21e647df9585ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Pistons, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.98 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Wizards | 44c | 12,075$5,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,788.7 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 56c | 10,722$6,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,035.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 56c | 9,971$5,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,618.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 44c | 9,687$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,424.88 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Wizards | 44c | 9,075$3,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,082 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Wizards | 44c | 8,948$3,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,010.73 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Wizards | 44c | 7,160$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.66 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ee…2728backed Pistons | 52c | 5,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…84d8backed Wizards | 48c | 4,215$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0aa…b54ebacked Wizards | 48c | 4,212$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe163…3bb8backed Wizards | 48c | 4,155$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3c…f750backed Wizards | 48c | 4,011$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…cb4fbacked Pistons | 52c | 3,899$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4960…5418backed Pistons | 52c | 3,878$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…718fbacked Wizards | 48c | 3,844$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…7350backed Pistons | 52c | 3,822$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…bf53backed Wizards | 48c | 3,812$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5178…2200backed Pistons | 52c | 3,803$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…19afbacked Wizards | 48c | 3,801$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…0b4bbacked Pistons | 52c | 3,722$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e34…d9dbbacked Pistons | 52c | 3,714$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c5…0515backed Wizards | 48c | 3,626$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d45…0691backed Pistons | 52c | 3,622$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad11…f7d0backed Pistons | 52c | 3,621$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4164…4bf3backed Pistons | 52c | 3,616$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…9990backed Pistons | 52c | 3,616$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd374…3b6abacked Wizards | 48c | 3,614$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…dfdcbacked Pistons | 52c | 3,603$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…7e8dbacked Wizards | 48c | 3,603$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…d969backed Pistons | 52c | 3,525$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…df06backed Pistons | 52c | 3,522$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x082a…7bf2backed Wizards | 48c | 3,478$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe96a…d774backed Wizards | 48c | 3,455$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…9e48backed Pistons | 52c | 3,455$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…45fdbacked Pistons | 52c | 3,416$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…6abebacked Wizards | 48c | 3,414$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…b954backed Pistons | 52c | 3,413$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d1…025cbacked Pistons | 52c | 3,316$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…8296backed Wizards | 48c | 3,316$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x043e…cc20backed Pistons | 52c | 3,313$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…9569backed Pistons | 52c | 3,311$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…5e68backed Wizards | 48c | 3,263$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5456…63febacked Wizards | 48c | 3,255$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce57…bd73backed Wizards | 48c | 3,244$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc227…b8d7backed Wizards | 48c | 3,213$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Pistons | 56c | 3,203$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.52 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…3cfebacked Wizards | 48c | 3,133$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6aa…d282backed Pistons | 52c | 3,131$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…6d3bbacked Wizards | 48c | 3,121$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27b…9116backed Pistons | 52c | 3,113$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3c…0060backed Pistons | 52c | 3,111$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…ccf7backed Wizards | 48c | 3,044$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6080…202dbacked Wizards | 48c | 3,026$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac8…fd33backed Pistons | 52c | 3,022$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…41babacked Wizards | 48c | 3,011$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a47…4705backed Wizards | 48c | 3,011$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…8085backed Pistons | 52c | 3,001$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e385backed Pistons | 52c | 2,811$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Pistons | 60c | 2,667$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd343…a266backed Wizards | 48c | 2,351$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 56c | 2,349$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.44 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2990…bc23backed Wizards | 48c | 2,200$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Wizards | 42c | 2,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Wizards | 43c | 1,843$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.78 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…2200backed Wizards | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 56c | 1,646$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Wizards | 44c | 1,627$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.44 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf89e…c1f0backed Wizards | 48c | 1,543$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a77…31fcbacked Wizards | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b18…8353backed Pistons | 52c | 1,395$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 43c | 1,334$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.66 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Pistons | 32c | 1,305$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.95 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Wizards | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 56c | 1,064$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Wizards | 45c | 1,041$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.7 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Pistons | 58c | 814.41$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.36 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 47c | 792.27$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.38 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Wizards | 43c | 698.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.48 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Pistons | 61c | 686.84$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.97 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 58c | 611.48$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.27 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Pistons | 56c | 521.57$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 41c | 477.78$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wizards | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Wizards | 44c | 447.73$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.73 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards | 41c | 404.27$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.99 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Pistons | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Wizards | 71c | 354.77$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pistons | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 59c | 264.89$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pistons | 57c | 251.72$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pistons | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Pistons | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Pistons | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Wizards | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Wizards | 46c | 193.8$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Pistons | 60c | 183.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Pistons | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Pistons | 57c | 176.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)this page
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Wizards won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Wizards vs. PistonsWizards won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.