NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce98e615258298158cf070e674f2a492a86dfdf40f91496926db426d60cdff2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Pistons, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Wizards | 47c | 88,000$41,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,900 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons | 52c | 49,921$26,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,007.06 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Pistons | 55c | 43,985$24,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,191.57 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Wizards | 48c | 35,149$16,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,326.67 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Pistons | 55c | 29,526$16,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,239.49 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 52c | 27,435$14,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,135.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,249.83 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Wizards | 45c | 19,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,450 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Wizards | 44c | 12,875$5,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,210 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Wizards | 51c | 10,196$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,996.08 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Pistons | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wizards | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…3dbcbacked Wizards | 51c | 8,380$4,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,106.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 46c | 7,907$3,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,244.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Pistons | 56c | 6,500$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Wizards | 45c | 6,400$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Pistons | 51c | 6,290$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.99 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pistons | 52c | 6,064$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.2 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Wizards | 44c | 5,660$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Pistons | 51c | 5,177$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.71 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Pistons | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Wizards | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Pistons | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 44c | 4,223$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.41 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Wizards | 48c | 4,168$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.48 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 52c | 4,050$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.96 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wizards | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Wizards | 45c | 2,889$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.89 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Wizards | 45c | 2,667$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.67 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Wizards | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Pistons | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Pistons | 50c | 1,638$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.02 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Pistons | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Pistons | 51c | 1,438$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.16 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons | 56c | 1,003$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.49 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Wizards | 45c | 940$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Wizards | 47c | 880$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.2 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 52c | 842.78$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.24 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons | 51c | 800.01$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.31 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Pistons | 39c | 799.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 48c | 646.4$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wizards | 51c | 635.44$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.37 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wizards | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Pistons | 56c | 594.64$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Pistons | 55c | 552$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Wizards | 45c | 471.8$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.49 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Wizards | 45c | 456.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.47 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Wizards | 47c | 440$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.53 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed Wizards | 45c | 439.81$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.44 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Pistons | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Pistons | 52c | 420.7$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.13 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Wizards | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Pistons | 54c | 388.75$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.92 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…a78dbacked Wizards | 45c | 374$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 61c | 373.7$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.67 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…76a2backed Pistons | 16c | 294.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Wizards | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Wizards | 47c | 278.65$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Wizards | 51c | 260.57$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…e83ebacked Wizards | 49c | 252$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Wizards | 51c | 227.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Pistons | 54c | 219.49$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.46 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4785…921ebacked Pistons | 48c | 218.56$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Wizards | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Pistons | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Wizards | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed Wizards | 46c | 195.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 59c | 194.56$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Wizards | 54c | 185.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Wizards | 48c | 182.61$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Wizards | 46c | 176$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Wizards | 43c | 175$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Pistons | 56c | 172.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Wizards | 51c | 169.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd70…3ebbbacked Wizards | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 49c | 159$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Wizards | 45c | 158.24$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Pistons | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Pistons | 54c | 142.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Wizards | 51c | 140.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Wizards | 54c | 139.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Pistons | 58c | 139.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Wizards | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Wizards | 54c | 115.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Wizards | 44c | 110.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Wizards | 47c | 104.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Wizards | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Wizards | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Pistons | 54c | 94.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Wizards | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 47c | 94.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Wizards | 49c | 93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Pistons | 52c | 87.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Wizards | 47c | 86.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…90d9backed Wizards | 47c | 84.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Wizards | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)this page
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Wizards won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Wizards vs. PistonsWizards won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.