TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$650,572
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$661,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $650,572 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Over49c368,400$180,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187,886.5126253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under51c350,000$178,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178,5002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over49c55,493$27,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,301.9187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under50c50,439$25,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,215.2240446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c30,768$14,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,964.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over53c28,176$14,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,259.751,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under51c22,195$11,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,293.6227747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.8551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Under50c15,000$7,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,424.996152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c11,299$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.731,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.9815349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cf…7d64backed Under51c8,324$4,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2452045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c7,635$3,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,597.574,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over51c5,765$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,824.714358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Under51c5,320$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.882240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under51c4,992$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,545.9225049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Over50c4,914$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.869051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over51c3,529$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.4126640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c3,189$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.665,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c3,022$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.614,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.9943348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Under51c2,473$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2617245.8%33 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Under49c2,276$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.7412147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over48c2,210$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.6355846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Over52c2,088$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.248651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Under51c2,052$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.5212950.4%65 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e46…35efbacked Over52c1,976$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.673850%19 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Over53c1,961$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.6421250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Over50c1,893$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.1313442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under51c1,807$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.436351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over50c1,773$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.671,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under51c1,769$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.0115147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Over51c1,765$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.718943.8%39 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over53c1,706$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.6838253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under47c1,560$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.271547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c1,201$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.152,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c1,166$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.713,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Over50c1,138$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.8814450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Over50c1,129$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.818055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c960.64$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.932,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Over52c864.09$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.098350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c861.7$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over53c824.78$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.2680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3126553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under51c716.47$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.432150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc280…ee2ebacked Under50c580.92$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x958a…39cebacked Over53c566.42$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over22c500.5$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.51,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d35…e83ebacked Under53c494.15$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.96643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Over51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.25865.5%38 W · 20 L+9.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over29c470.88$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.823,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…88d6backed Under52c429.56$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.371233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ab…0e37backed Under45c406.65$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.661442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under41c404.12$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.313,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1f…c6adbacked Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1965950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x708a…1f12backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20028245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Over50c391.38$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.6913850%69 W · 69 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa0…7191backed Over49c368.4$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8812349.6%61 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under50c365$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.528751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over50c364.7$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.3543544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Under46c363.07$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0112348%59 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under52c357.12$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7427943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under50c332.79$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5666646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under50c326$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16385147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c269.4$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.873,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c257.72$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.861,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under53c251.38$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.843,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under48c249.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2195047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under51c243.28$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.942,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3cc…c029backed Over49c228.59$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4716250%81 W · 81 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over50c228.41$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2189853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over49c222.54$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2953945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over50c203.58$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7921753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c203.36$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1029247.8%44 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under48c199.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9924946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under51c196.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Over49c195.67$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2218254.4%99 W · 83 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under51c192.16$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9862546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over52c187.42$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2650648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c186$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.916,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed Under52c185$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.21844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7521948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a0…3fb7backed Over53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over54c132.47$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9469149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe90…5ce2backed Over49c126.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.765752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.