NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76bd4730d4e80fb1ba5d72d32c5a17eccb90a6f34412b451f646c8e00c3d2b69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $650,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $661,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $650,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 49c | 368,400$180,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187,886.51 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 350,000$178,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178,500 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 55,493$27,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,301.91 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 50c | 50,439$25,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,215.22 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 30,768$14,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,964.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 53c | 28,176$14,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,259.75 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 51c | 22,195$11,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,293.62 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.85 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Under | 50c | 15,000$7,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,424.99 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 11,299$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.73 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.98 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…7d64backed Under | 51c | 8,324$4,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 7,635$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,597.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…ef56backed Over | 51c | 5,765$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.71 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Under | 51c | 5,320$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 51c | 4,992$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.92 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Over | 50c | 4,914$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.86 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 51c | 3,529$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.41 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 3,189$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.66 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 3,022$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.61 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 51c | 2,473$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Under | 49c | 2,276$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.74 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 48c | 2,210$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.63 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 52c | 2,088$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.24 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Under | 51c | 2,052$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.52 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Over | 52c | 1,976$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.67 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 53c | 1,961$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.64 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Over | 50c | 1,893$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.13 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 51c | 1,807$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.4 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 50c | 1,773$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.67 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 51c | 1,769$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.01 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Over | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.71 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 53c | 1,706$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.68 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 1,560$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 1,201$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.15 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 1,166$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.71 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Over | 50c | 1,138$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.88 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Over | 50c | 1,129$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.8 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 960.64$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.93 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Over | 52c | 864.09$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.09 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 861.7$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 53c | 824.78$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.26 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 51c | 716.47$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.4 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc280…ee2ebacked Under | 50c | 580.92$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…39cebacked Over | 53c | 566.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 22c | 500.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.5 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…e83ebacked Under | 53c | 494.15$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.9 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 29c | 470.88$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.82 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…88d6backed Under | 52c | 429.56$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…0e37backed Under | 45c | 406.65$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 41c | 404.12$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.31 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1f…c6adbacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…1f12backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Over | 50c | 391.38$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.69 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Over | 49c | 368.4$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.88 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 50c | 365$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 50c | 364.7$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.35 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Under | 46c | 363.07$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.01 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 52c | 357.12$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.74 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 50c | 332.79$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.56 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 50c | 326$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 269.4$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.87 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 257.72$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.86 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 53c | 251.38$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 249.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.21 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 51c | 243.28$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Over | 49c | 228.59$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 50c | 228.41$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over | 49c | 222.54$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 50c | 203.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 203.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…2942backed Over | 49c | 195.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 51c | 192.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 52c | 187.42$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 186$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Under | 52c | 185$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3fb7backed Over | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 54c | 132.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…5ce2backed Over | 49c | 126.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5this page
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Wizards won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Wizards vs. PistonsWizards won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.