NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca2e341f7d7e6fec7e4e4e1d5f4beadfb1486149b8b5fcdd58f6f3c4ce199f0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Wizards, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,430,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,155,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,430,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 865 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards | 13c | 407,629$51,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355,904.94 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Pistons | 9c | 192,912$17,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,956.2 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Wizards | 10c | 101,727$10,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,554.18 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…9e49backed Pistons | 40c | 95,882$38,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,404.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Wizards | 12c | 77,409$9,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,119.92 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Wizards | 10c | 57,764$5,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,987.63 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pistons | 58c | 57,005$33,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,053.11 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 28c | 49,732$13,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,857.3 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 38c | 46,110$17,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,583.38 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Wizards | 12c | 35,215$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,989.2 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked Pistons | 37c | 33,960$12,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,619.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…db04backed Pistons | 41c | 32,637$13,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,513.04 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Wizards | 10c | 30,240$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,216 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 42c | 28,857$12,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,702.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 10c | 25,786$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,092.81 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Pistons | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Pistons | 61c | 20,803$12,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,769.81 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf691…ef99backed Pistons | 80c | 20,675$16,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,508.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Wizards | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Wizards | 11c | 20,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,800 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Wizards | 10c | 19,932$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,872.32 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Wizards | 14c | 19,484$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,777.3 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Pistons | 45c | 18,489$8,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,281.26 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards | 19c | 18,015$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,524.9 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Wizards | 11c | 18,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,020 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Wizards | 13c | 17,243$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,924.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pistons | 35c | 16,527$5,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,707.12 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 11c | 16,215$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,506.15 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Wizards | 13c | 15,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,049.87 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Wizards | 11c | 14,690$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,074.1 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 14c | 13,815$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,885.82 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wizards | 70c | 13,446$9,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,019.26 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Wizards | 14c | 13,000$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,180 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wizards | 12c | 12,800$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,264 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32dc…2265backed Pistons | 3c | 12,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Pistons | 3c | 11,326$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.78 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Wizards | 16c | 11,006$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,214.4 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Pistons | 40c | 11,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.98 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wizards | 24c | 10,872$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,220.73 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Pistons | 29c | 10,500$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.72 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Wizards | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Pistons | 50c | 9,720$4,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,886 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Wizards | 12c | 9,618$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,432.35 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Pistons | 53c | 9,536$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.76 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Pistons | 75c | 9,336$7,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,002.22 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c3…ac62backed Wizards | 75c | 8,940$6,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Pistons | 62c | 8,867$5,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,493 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab7…24ecbacked Wizards | 73c | 8,812$6,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.6 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…9446backed Pistons | 0c | 8,600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…0fb2backed Pistons | 73c | 8,522$6,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,213.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pistons | 48c | 8,338$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,011.68 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 10c | 8,325$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,498.77 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ec…66f9backed Wizards | 12c | 8,076$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,106.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Wizards | 22c | 8,052$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,273.55 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Wizards | 14c | 8,001$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,880.86 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9575…e916backed Wizards | 14c | 8,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,880 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Pistons | 78c | 7,767$6,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,074.27 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa243…6080backed Pistons | 44c | 7,619$3,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Wizards | 77c | 7,381$5,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.37 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Wizards | 14c | 7,143$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,142.86 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Wizards | 10c | 7,140$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,425.68 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…e891backed Wizards | 12c | 6,902$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,073.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Wizards | 44c | 6,785$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825.95 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b69…a9f2backed Pistons | 39c | 6,776$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.96 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Wizards | 45c | 6,658$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.83 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Pistons | 67c | 6,636$4,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,445.62 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Wizards | 39c | 6,530$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.16 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…3a35backed Wizards | 14c | 6,500$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,590 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…3f90backed Wizards | 77c | 6,464$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.62 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaccc…b5e2backed Wizards | 20c | 6,261$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,015.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Pistons | 39c | 6,146$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.27 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wizards | 11c | 6,078$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.54 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Wizards | 11c | 5,962$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,306.18 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…c210backed Wizards | 12c | 5,700$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,016 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Wizards | 49c | 5,684$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.13 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards | 47c | 5,608$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.22 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Pistons | 0c | 5,514$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d2…796ebacked Pistons | 75c | 5,445$4,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,102.59 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Wizards | 13c | 5,386$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,711.52 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Wizards | 15c | 5,349$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,569.41 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5f…1c63backed Wizards | 38c | 5,271$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Wizards | 77c | 5,137$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.42 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Pistons | 69c | 5,076$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,483.31 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 46c | 5,023$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Wizards | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Pistons | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Wizards | 17c | 4,900$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.36 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Wizards | 48c | 4,896$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.37 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons | 75c | 4,698$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501.86 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Wizards | 25c | 4,572$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,446.13 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pistons | 37c | 4,444$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.15 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Pistons | 80c | 4,428$3,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,538.43 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Pistons | 47c | 4,284$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.86 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Pistons | 77c | 4,179$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.48 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Wizards | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Wizards | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Wizards | 12c | 3,887$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.74 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…3436backed Wizards | 39c | 3,739$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pistons | 56c | 3,668$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.55 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Pistonsthis page
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Wizards won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.