TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b69…a9f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$973.72
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$778.33
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,962Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,303.03
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$923.6
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$392.38
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,948Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$959.49
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$9,394Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4,220.64
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+78.2%+$192.68
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+69.3%+$102.55
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.2%+$1,034.5
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,095.47
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,797Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,797.07
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13,742.42
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$6,796Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$6,796.42
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,633Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,632.96
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,844Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+69.8%+$1,287.69
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10,201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+80.1%+$8,175.97
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,552Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,551.55
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,091Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+52.3%+$1,617.34
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$982.2
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$549.62
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,006Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+64%+$1,924.17
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+150%+$3,749.73
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,614Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+104.1%+$1,679.88
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$889Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$768.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,715Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$2,608.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,960Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,779.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Cougars vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,651Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.1%+$546.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$2,280
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.