NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8556936a9327f016822d938a0ca62bb9bf5a325a98a2a373d0de2f3fe13fd2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Magic, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,989,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,180,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,989,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Spurs | 65c | 197,137$128,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,882.05 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Spurs | 65c | 148,482$96,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,968.64 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Magic | 45c | 130,000$57,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,899.99 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Spurs | 55c | 126,025$69,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,380.62 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 66c | 124,034$81,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,707.61 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Magic | 35c | 105,555$36,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,944.25 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Magic | 19c | 101,146$19,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,297.95 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Magic | 36c | 98,566$35,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,603.51 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Magic | 38c | 91,538$34,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,455.08 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Spurs | 57c | 88,907$50,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,229.92 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Magic | 36c | 80,011$28,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,549.13 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Spurs | 59c | 66,767$39,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,045.97 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 40c | 47,259$18,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,697.43 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs | 64c | 45,220$28,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,279.35 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…3d6abacked Magic | 13c | 44,111$5,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,731.48 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Magic | 35c | 40,460$14,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,161.14 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Spurs | 74c | 40,170$29,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,394.64 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Magic | 36c | 40,144$14,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,450.31 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Spurs | 60c | 40,122$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,121.92 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Magic | 1c | 39,003$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.18 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Magic | 35c | 37,948$13,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,162.39 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 28c | 36,657$10,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,322.82 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Magic | 41c | 26,748$10,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,966.74 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 40c | 22,304$9,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,016.3 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Spurs | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Magic | 42c | 19,411$8,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,117.39 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Magic | 48c | 19,377$9,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,324.2 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 22c | 19,139$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.77 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Magic | 1c | 17,992$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.89 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Spurs | 60c | 17,535$10,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,016.15 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Spurs | 73c | 17,291$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,691.17 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 13c | 15,958$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.14 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac3c…d637backed Magic | 33c | 15,700$5,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,181 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 37c | 15,205$5,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,677.42 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Magic | 42c | 15,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Magic | 27c | 13,870$3,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,745 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 38c | 13,867$5,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,293.88 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs | 72c | 13,201$9,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.17 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Spurs | 78c | 13,035$10,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.97 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Magic | 35c | 13,000$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Magic | 43c | 12,300$5,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,289 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Magic | 41c | 12,000$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x872b…16e9backed Magic | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 30c | 11,986$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.64 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Magic | 42c | 11,330$4,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720.68 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Spurs | 56c | 11,209$6,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,932.04 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…b212backed Magic | 41c | 11,027$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Magic | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Magic | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…53a8backed Magic | 0c | 9,990$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 3c | 9,619$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.19 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed Spurs | 64c | 9,523$6,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.28 | 147 | 38.1%56 W · 91 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs | 61c | 9,491$5,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.36 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Magic | 36c | 9,094$3,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Magic | 42c | 9,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d1…8a29backed Magic | 34c | 8,888$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.92 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…faf1backed Spurs | 67c | 8,758$5,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Spurs | 65c | 8,679$5,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.71 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Magic | 39c | 8,502$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.08 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Magic | 35c | 8,500$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Spurs | 65c | 8,500$5,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.83 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Spurs | 57c | 8,065$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce0…0639backed Magic | 34c | 8,001$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…48d7backed Spurs | 66c | 8,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Magic | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.99 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Spurs | 75c | 7,622$5,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.57 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 72c | 7,124$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Magic | 21c | 7,098$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.31 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Magic | 41c | 7,080$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.64 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Spurs | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Spurs | 58c | 6,949$4,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.71 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Magic | 43c | 6,651$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.64 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Magic | 43c | 6,637$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.91 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Spurs | 73c | 6,632$4,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.7 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Magic | 44c | 6,555$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.28 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Magic | 33c | 6,532$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.48 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…db04backed Spurs | 63c | 6,261$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.74 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Magic | 36c | 6,243$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.6 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd7…3d25backed Spurs | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.95 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Magic | 30c | 5,996$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.14 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Magic | 1c | 5,967$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 65c | 5,948$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.61 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Magic | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Magic | 39c | 5,616$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.08 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2218…9467backed Magic | 31c | 5,565$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Magic | 0c | 5,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Spurs | 69c | 5,309$3,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.63 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Magic | 43c | 5,233$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Magic | 5c | 5,177$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.72 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 60c | 5,117$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Spurs | 59c | 5,001$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.66 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Magic | 39c | 4,992$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.23 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b69…a9f2backed Spurs | 66c | 4,708$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.34 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Spurs | 61c | 4,569$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.52 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Spurs | 58c | 4,519$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.95 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Magic | 35c | 4,286$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Magic | 41c | 4,284$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.68 | 605 | 49.8%301 W · 304 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Magic | 38c | 4,113$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.41 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Magic | 42c | 4,081$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.74 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Magic | 31c | 4,027$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.9 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Spursthis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Magic won
- Magic vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Magic vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Under won
- Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5Under won
- Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.