NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdee76d9251f92b2e19eb3980d0b70914950f419368a1ec5ad4ca50f59366b853
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 11,249$5,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,656.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Over | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 7,000$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,491.6 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 3,488$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.9 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 3,247$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.82 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 3,226$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.48 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 2,966$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.68 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.38 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.07 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Over | 51c | 1,500$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.94 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 51c | 1,190$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.13 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 50c | 428.78$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…57c8backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Over | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…701cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…85b9backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 71.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 53c | 68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 53c | 64.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 41c | 64.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 49c | 61.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 58.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Over | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…bf4ebacked Over | 50c | 54.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 51c | 51.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 43.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…ccdbbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 48c | 38.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Under | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Under | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…9580backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Magic won
- Magic vs. SpursSpurs won
- Magic vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Magic vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5Under won
- Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.