NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76cae7664442ed2556f13779e06fbe212c8510758cd3cfffeef4daac728c87a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $416,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $419,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $416,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 188,398$85,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,794.55 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 54c | 110,272$59,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,519.5 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 55c | 75,000$41,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,750 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 10,134$4,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,532.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 44c | 6,024$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.81 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb76…1709backed Under | 52c | 5,740$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 4,578$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.43 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…39a6backed Over | 48c | 4,455$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 46c | 4,445$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…7b1cbacked Under | 52c | 4,212$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b79…4b88backed Over | 48c | 4,141$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…1cd5backed Over | 48c | 4,133$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…618fbacked Under | 52c | 4,044$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd02…c224backed Over | 48c | 4,043$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668e…ddaabacked Over | 48c | 4,022$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb516…6a33backed Under | 52c | 4,021$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc560…d865backed Over | 48c | 4,010$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Under | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.99 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…2e11backed Under | 52c | 3,962$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…2909backed Under | 52c | 3,926$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…94fcbacked Over | 48c | 3,902$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6de7…b106backed Over | 48c | 3,899$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde4…b6c5backed Over | 48c | 3,899$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…ab67backed Over | 48c | 3,888$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3398…7ebfbacked Under | 52c | 3,801$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…bddcbacked Under | 52c | 3,750$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…c640backed Under | 52c | 3,679$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8830…7f7abacked Over | 48c | 3,671$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…0d8fbacked Over | 48c | 3,669$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…b1d6backed Over | 48c | 3,663$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…164fbacked Under | 52c | 3,662$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1924…55aabacked Over | 48c | 3,652$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…035dbacked Over | 48c | 3,644$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f0…9d2ebacked Under | 52c | 3,636$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…72c3backed Under | 52c | 3,636$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…979ebacked Over | 48c | 3,631$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…f969backed Under | 52c | 3,617$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec9c…8887backed Over | 48c | 3,616$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x415b…bb08backed Over | 48c | 3,566$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5557…ed77backed Over | 48c | 3,489$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…c209backed Over | 48c | 3,488$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…742ebacked Over | 48c | 3,466$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…dcbcbacked Over | 48c | 3,455$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234f…e6c2backed Over | 48c | 3,429$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5474…6d76backed Over | 48c | 3,424$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab1…1343backed Under | 52c | 3,416$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…6fa3backed Under | 52c | 3,414$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe95f…6ef2backed Under | 52c | 3,412$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…027cbacked Over | 48c | 3,354$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…11b2backed Under | 52c | 3,324$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d2…d2d6backed Under | 52c | 3,322$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 45c | 3,262$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.45 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…0d2dbacked Over | 48c | 3,245$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…cd59backed Under | 52c | 3,232$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c17…3b1abacked Over | 48c | 3,216$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…a94fbacked Over | 48c | 3,213$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde3e…a4f1backed Under | 52c | 3,212$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d07…2ddfbacked Under | 52c | 3,131$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e7…aee8backed Over | 48c | 3,131$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7c…090cbacked Under | 52c | 3,126$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…757cbacked Over | 48c | 3,120$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3acf…9edcbacked Over | 48c | 3,119$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…5182backed Over | 48c | 3,112$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202c…bdd5backed Under | 52c | 3,110$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 36c | 3,103$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.72 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad04…3c3cbacked Over | 48c | 3,099$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f23…af68backed Over | 48c | 3,069$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0590…4a59backed Over | 48c | 3,044$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf5…13acbacked Over | 48c | 3,034$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…9123backed Under | 52c | 3,028$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0a…39bcbacked Over | 48c | 3,012$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…12d6backed Over | 48c | 2,993$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69af…1f54backed Under | 52c | 2,941$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…48ebbacked Under | 52c | 2,933$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…5cd5backed Over | 48c | 2,916$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53df…bc6ebacked Under | 52c | 2,902$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…edf9backed Over | 48c | 2,898$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 55c | 2,891$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.02 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6121…be53backed Under | 52c | 2,852$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…26f2backed Over | 48c | 2,828$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b1…2221backed Under | 52c | 2,828$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Under | 56c | 2,820$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.21 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba1…0a67backed Under | 52c | 2,818$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…f09cbacked Under | 52c | 2,816$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a10…1e66backed Over | 48c | 2,801$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e9…7e5fbacked Over | 48c | 2,779$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 2,472$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.92 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2571…6cdabacked Over | 48c | 2,300$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd59d…79b6backed Under | 52c | 2,278$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…d496backed Under | 52c | 2,174$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…04fbbacked Under | 52c | 2,123$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49b…bb29backed Under | 52c | 2,043$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…2465backed Over | 48c | 2,025$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a0…53e3backed Under | 52c | 2,011$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…ee16backed Under | 52c | 1,974$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.52 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…4480backed Over | 67c | 1,973$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Magic won
- Magic vs. SpursSpurs won
- Magic vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Magic vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Under won
- Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.