TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e6e…be00backed Magic54c7,548$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,050.2845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd39…234fbacked Magic54c6,639$3,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,585.151266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6077…ad46backed Spurs46c6,639$3,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,585.151553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs44c5,874$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,318.372,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Magic57c5,272$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Magic55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7501,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda73…3eadbacked Spurs46c4,252$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c89…7fa8backed Spurs46c4,127$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb0…7525backed Spurs46c4,123$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ad…16e1backed Magic54c4,032$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,177.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf4…c701backed Magic54c4,025$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2520…93bcbacked Magic54c4,022$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs43c3,956$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.764,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6313…5608backed Magic54c3,865$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe39b…6817backed Spurs46c3,856$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6935…068dbacked Magic54c3,685$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffc…440bbacked Spurs46c3,658$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,975.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs45c3,560$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.722,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecf9…50e0backed Magic54c3,556$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c7…9f33backed Spurs46c3,452$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bef…58fdbacked Spurs46c3,452$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs58c3,446$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.313,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44cf…b2febacked Magic54c3,352$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Spurs46c3,261$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.8724450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Spurs39c3,000$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.4235942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs47c2,997$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.2770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0858…2b8bbacked Magic54c2,801$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b71…b33dbacked Spurs46c2,618$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e40…04fbbacked Spurs46c2,399$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.46475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa18a…2251backed Magic54c2,366$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b8…d496backed Spurs46c2,365$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d4c…56fcbacked Spurs46c2,355$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd59d…79b6backed Spurs46c2,332$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…ee16backed Spurs46c2,289$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.065100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb79e…1589backed Magic54c2,256$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f6a…2410backed Magic54c2,235$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x616d…74c4backed Magic54c2,222$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3250…60fabacked Magic54c2,212$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…cfc7backed Magic54c2,211$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6100…2120backed Spurs46c2,189$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a0…53e3backed Spurs46c2,153$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b21…90dcbacked Spurs46c2,122$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…19b0backed Magic54c2,121$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f25…bf50backed Magic54c2,121$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d6c…c5cdbacked Spurs46c2,076$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74c5…f35dbacked Magic54c2,022$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc76b…37a0backed Magic54c2,016$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f80…f02cbacked Spurs46c2,015$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.15100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x38bc…4d3fbacked Magic54c2,011$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.94450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x960d…32a5backed Magic54c1,982$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Spurs46c1,969$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06317550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc681…5cf8backed Magic54c1,944$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae1…91b3backed Magic54c1,927$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7d…3af0backed Magic54c1,926$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x734f…7fa0backed Magic54c1,924$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacd…0a51backed Magic54c1,899$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.46580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02e7…1af5backed Magic54c1,899$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e08…c176backed Spurs46c1,896$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc891…fc7cbacked Spurs46c1,864$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.56450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd608…b138backed Spurs46c1,856$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b7…3b28backed Spurs46c1,856$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1c…a8b0backed Magic54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ee…cb43backed Magic54c1,842$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x016f…18c2backed Magic54c1,818$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b9…fbe8backed Spurs46c1,789$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.06785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+70.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba06…af31backed Spurs46c1,788$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8366backed Magic54c1,788$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4851…a371backed Magic54c1,756$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Magic19c1,743$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.3744821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8477…7587backed Magic56c1,740$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fef…c4c2backed Spurs46c1,730$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d61…9cdfbacked Magic54c1,716$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4fd…0e2dbacked Magic56c1,701$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bd5…aa13backed Spurs46c1,699$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.46450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe11c…9898backed Spurs46c1,698$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0d…2440backed Magic54c1,698$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c9…2005backed Magic54c1,680$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ec…30e3backed Spurs46c1,677$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.58580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+62.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8bb…2760backed Spurs46c1,677$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.584100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a10…1e8cbacked Magic54c1,635$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c00…eb19backed Magic56c1,603$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Magic61c1,594$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.082,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Magic59c1,581$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.3236359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3a1…13d4backed Magic54c1,572$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a0f…ed10backed Spurs46c1,541$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde40…fc26backed Spurs46c1,454$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1552…33d5backed Spurs46c1,452$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ca…09c6backed Spurs46c1,447$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…2d39backed Spurs46c1,425$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb307…c618backed Magic54c1,422$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Magic60c1,389$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.322,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e4e…5cf3backed Spurs46c1,325$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bd…47b9backed Magic54c1,322$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e4e…4fc5backed Spurs46c1,222$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…9fdebacked Spurs46c1,153$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc222…e36bbacked Spurs46c1,152$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46aa…5c95backed Magic54c1,123$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x852f…9147backed Magic54c1,122$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb5…c083backed Magic54c1,102$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7787…3ce2backed Magic54c1,059$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.