NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe667e88916280b8a88c0794db8343bd6b5536d66da274e300848c3b33f0296f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $360,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs | 48c | 99,977$47,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,025.47 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Magic | 52c | 80,000$41,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,600 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Magic | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,499.92 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Magic | 58c | 38,359$22,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,234.61 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Magic | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 48c | 17,110$8,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,963.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Spurs | 49c | 16,846$8,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,591.29 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Spurs | 42c | 11,892$4,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900.08 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 58c | 10,304$5,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,976.32 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Magic | 52c | 10,125$5,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,263.56 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Spurs | 42c | 9,754$4,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,657.26 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Magic | 55c | 9,090$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.67 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Spurs | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 49c | 7,394$3,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,774.35 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730f…952cbacked Spurs | 50c | 7,290$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…49b6backed Magic | 50c | 7,287$3,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,643.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…9cedbacked Spurs | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…97e6backed Magic | 50c | 4,480$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d5…42f5backed Magic | 50c | 4,422$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…7224backed Spurs | 50c | 4,150$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…4c32backed Spurs | 50c | 4,123$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3863…7859backed Magic | 50c | 4,052$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e9…96b9backed Magic | 50c | 4,005$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Magic | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…2ec9backed Magic | 50c | 3,985$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda4…1d19backed Spurs | 50c | 3,950$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…ff25backed Spurs | 50c | 3,902$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…a6b0backed Magic | 50c | 3,855$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…dca4backed Spurs | 50c | 3,755$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e1…133bbacked Spurs | 50c | 3,652$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…08e5backed Spurs | 50c | 3,605$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…6a28backed Magic | 50c | 3,586$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072d…c9e7backed Spurs | 50c | 3,563$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…da9fbacked Spurs | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e49…6983backed Magic | 50c | 3,487$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 44c | 3,394$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.36 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c5…8aaabacked Magic | 50c | 3,352$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…b219backed Spurs | 50c | 3,321$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fa…fd48backed Magic | 50c | 3,255$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…c773backed Magic | 50c | 3,255$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc695…cb3ebacked Magic | 50c | 3,250$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2e…6ababacked Magic | 50c | 3,214$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…ca25backed Spurs | 50c | 3,186$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d20…fa19backed Spurs | 50c | 3,136$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…afb5backed Spurs | 50c | 3,122$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…c7f7backed Spurs | 50c | 3,122$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Spurs | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…2b0cbacked Spurs | 50c | 3,010$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…680abacked Magic | 50c | 3,010$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…aa01backed Magic | 50c | 3,008$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Magic | 53c | 2,993$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.71 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…2198backed Magic | 50c | 2,952$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f20…72dfbacked Magic | 50c | 2,923$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…9e49backed Spurs | 50c | 2,850$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 42c | 2,744$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7823…7cf9backed Spurs | 50c | 2,655$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…983abacked Spurs | 50c | 2,520$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc543…6943backed Magic | 50c | 2,250$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c9…2005backed Magic | 50c | 2,240$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Magic | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 46c | 2,058$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.13 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a1…13d4backed Magic | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Magic | 53c | 1,888$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs | 48c | 1,666$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.32 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Magic | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Spurs | 48c | 1,358$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.15 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed Magic | 58c | 1,342$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.59 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Magic | 49c | 1,228$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.5 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Magic | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Magic | 51c | 1,129$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.72 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Spurs | 49c | 1,042$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.27 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Magic | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Magic | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic | 50c | 990.64$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.23 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Spurs | 44c | 963.79$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.65 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8366backed Spurs | 50c | 947$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Spurs | 51c | 848.35$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.7 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs | 50c | 831.69$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.26 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Spurs | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Magic | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Spurs | 48c | 699.84$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.59 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Magic | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Spurs | 44c | 632.64$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.24 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Spurs | 49c | 592.16$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.66 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Magic | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Magic | 51c | 573.51$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.49 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Magic | 52c | 573.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Spurs | 42c | 555$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.45 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 58c | 541.19$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.89 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 48c | 487.71$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.36 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Spurs | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 47c | 391.56$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.58 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Magic | 52c | 364$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.28 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Magic | 39c | 348.77$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Magic | 58c | 335.04$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.32 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Magic | 47c | 288.42$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Magic | 58c | 286.19$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.99 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Magic | 52c | 263.46$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Magic | 53c | 262.47$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.11 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Spurs | 42c | 248.31$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.02 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Magic won
- Magic vs. SpursSpurs won
- Magic vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Magic vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Under won
- Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5Under won
- Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.