NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc296b13aac16810c9daad88e6d0e82d1b69d3778aba5900134b190215cf8666d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,626,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,732,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,626,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 34c | 586,303$198,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387,750.65 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Suns | 66c | 310,572$204,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204,564.47 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Warriors | 34c | 291,792$100,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191,786.28 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Suns | 66c | 230,066$151,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151,340.11 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Warriors | 35c | 200,000$70,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,999.88 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Warriors | 34c | 191,914$65,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,462.78 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Suns | 68c | 160,990$109,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,868.89 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 34c | 111,594$37,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,652.34 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Warriors | 35c | 88,177$30,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,315.22 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Warriors | 32c | 77,853$24,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,939.89 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Warriors | 34c | 75,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,499.82 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Suns | 65c | 71,050$46,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,182.5 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 32c | 65,555$20,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,577.4 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Suns | 66c | 65,355$42,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,830.51 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Warriors | 32c | 65,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,199.96 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Suns | 65c | 58,000$37,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,699.99 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 67c | 53,218$35,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,524.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471e…290cbacked Suns | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Suns | 65c | 50,000$32,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,500 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Suns | 65c | 49,909$32,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,441.06 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 66c | 41,772$27,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,609.96 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Suns | 67c | 40,658$27,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,240.53 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Warriors | 20c | 38,158$7,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,355.63 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Suns | 66c | 37,502$24,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,734.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 32c | 34,877$11,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,873.14 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Suns | 69c | 33,997$23,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,458.19 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 28c | 31,160$8,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,435.25 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 58c | 30,312$17,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,537.51 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns | 65c | 30,089$19,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,558.13 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Suns | 66c | 27,957$18,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,566.45 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Suns | 73c | 27,455$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Suns | 65c | 26,816$17,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,430.52 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors | 38c | 25,506$9,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,916.65 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Suns | 68c | 25,000$17,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,036.11 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Suns | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Warriors | 6c | 23,771$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,344.85 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Suns | 68c | 23,200$15,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,775.85 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Suns | 65c | 22,865$14,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,862.25 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 67c | 22,464$15,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,040.73 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns | 67c | 22,408$14,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,924.75 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Warriors | 45c | 22,223$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,222.61 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c0…3969backed Warriors | 47c | 21,684$10,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,568.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Suns | 66c | 21,000$13,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,860 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b69…a9f2backed Suns | 66c | 20,952$13,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,742.42 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Suns | 54c | 20,035$10,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,818.6 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Warriors | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,600 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Suns | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,999.88 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 43c | 19,953$8,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,355.91 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Suns | 67c | 19,749$13,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,156.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 34c | 18,854$6,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,443.73 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Suns | 66c | 18,486$12,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,182.53 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Suns | 65c | 18,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Suns | 55c | 16,291$8,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,900.69 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…db04backed Suns | 65c | 16,139$10,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,440 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Warriors | 25c | 16,022$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,022.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Warriors | 19c | 15,941$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,840.89 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Suns | 72c | 15,783$11,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,325.09 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Suns | 65c | 15,488$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,119.55 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Warriors | 35c | 14,074$4,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,153.9 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 15c | 13,879$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,742.45 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 33c | 13,168$4,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,786.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Suns | 65c | 12,500$8,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,125 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed Suns | 65c | 12,177$7,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,915.05 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab7…24ecbacked Warriors | 60c | 12,076$7,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,818.43 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Suns | 67c | 11,841$7,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,886.98 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Suns | 67c | 11,657$7,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,810 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Suns | 55c | 11,337$6,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,259.56 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Suns | 67c | 11,111$7,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,444.37 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Warriors | 48c | 10,862$5,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,681.08 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Suns | 66c | 10,787$7,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,119.53 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 38c | 10,090$3,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,302.42 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Warriors | 50c | 10,050$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,049.83 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Suns | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…4c04backed Suns | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Warriors | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,699.99 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Suns | 65c | 9,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Warriors | 17c | 8,960$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,411.81 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Suns | 64c | 8,959$5,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,775.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Suns | 77c | 8,920$6,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,828.74 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Suns | 66c | 8,773$5,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,790 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5f…1c63backed Warriors | 41c | 8,730$3,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,138.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 31c | 8,603$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,924.05 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Suns | 66c | 8,382$5,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,532.12 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Warriors | 37c | 8,347$3,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,232.54 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Suns | 66c | 8,223$5,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,395.49 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…c792backed Warriors | 31c | 8,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,519.97 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Suns | 53c | 7,985$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed Suns | 44c | 7,388$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228.38 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Suns | 70c | 7,278$5,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,058.45 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Warriors | 31c | 6,546$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,517.04 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Suns | 66c | 6,061$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Suns | 66c | 6,060$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors | 30c | 6,029$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,235.21 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Warriors | 31c | 6,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Suns | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Suns | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Warriors | 36c | 5,940$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,821.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…12b2backed Warriors | 32c | 5,347$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.64 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…e176backed Suns | 69c | 5,347$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.11 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5064…3ba3backed Warriors | 35c | 5,250$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.5 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Sunsthis page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-3.5)Warriors won
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Suns (-6.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.