NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x680874c16b8cfcb1cc0cb73def0859475dfb8eb8077c8a196db19b1b43ee4e77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Suns, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,142,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,170,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,142,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 51c | 464,070$236,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227,808.31 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 49c | 308,932$150,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158,152.17 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Suns | 49c | 258,132$126,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,484.45 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Suns | 51c | 252,872$128,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,964.94 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Suns | 49c | 150,000$73,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,500 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Suns | 50c | 112,065$56,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,340.13 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Warriors | 49c | 108,077$53,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,950.06 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 50c | 78,085$38,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,191.29 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Suns | 50c | 49,413$24,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,904.81 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Suns | 53c | 31,302$16,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,590.07 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Suns | 51c | 20,582$10,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,497.02 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Suns | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Suns | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Warriors | 50c | 17,121$8,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,501.45 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -12.4wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Suns | 51c | 15,424$7,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,866 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Suns | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 48c | 12,715$6,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,596.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Warriors | 49c | 9,400$4,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,794 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Warriors | 50c | 8,000$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,019.99 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Suns | 50c | 6,319$3,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,169.28 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Suns | 49c | 6,075$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.89 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Warriors | 47c | 5,682$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.46 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Suns | 54c | 4,964$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.72 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Suns | 51c | 4,802$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Suns | 50c | 4,596$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.91 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 50c | 4,518$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Suns | 51c | 4,386$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.86 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Suns | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Suns | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Suns | 49c | 3,855$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.44 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Suns | 50c | 3,775$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.25 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…bebdbacked Suns | 51c | 3,480$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.95 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Suns | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Suns | 51c | 3,123$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.5 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Warriors | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Warriors | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 49c | 2,786$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.38 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Suns | 51c | 2,745$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 55c | 2,625$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Suns | 51c | 2,549$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Suns | 51c | 2,451$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…2e46backed Suns | 51c | 2,403$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Suns | 53c | 2,302$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.13 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 49c | 2,060$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.18 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Suns | 51c | 1,958$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.53 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Suns | 51c | 1,854$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.54 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Suns | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 54c | 1,806$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.92 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Suns | 50c | 1,274$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Suns | 51c | 1,273$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Suns | 51c | 1,225$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns | 51c | 1,177$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.27 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Suns | 51c | 1,161$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.09 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,090$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Warriors | 48c | 1,069$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.15 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 47c | 1,013$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.03 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Suns | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Suns | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Suns | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Suns | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Suns | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Suns | 53c | 942.96$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.4 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Suns | 51c | 879$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.29 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Suns | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 47c | 732.05$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.52 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Warriors | 50c | 720$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Warriors | 50c | 663$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 50c | 620.84$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.24 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed Suns | 56c | 545.5$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc88…ab87backed Suns | 54c | 542.59$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…e83ebacked Suns | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Suns | 53c | 504.72$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Suns | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Suns | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Suns | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Suns | 51c | 460$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.6 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Suns | 51c | 449.02$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Suns | 53c | 433.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…a0a5backed Suns | 51c | 417.92$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.14 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Suns | 51c | 403.1$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.58 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…625dbacked Suns | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Suns | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Warriors | 47c | 368.09$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Suns | 50c | 359$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Suns | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…6f00backed Suns | 52c | 337.17$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Suns | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 45c | 322.04$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.61 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…16ecbacked Suns | 49c | 306.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Warriors | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Warriors | 49c | 300$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Suns | 51c | 284.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Warriors | 50c | 275.21$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Warriors | 55c | 275.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Suns | 51c | 275$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Warriors | 51c | 267.73$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-3.5)Warriors won
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-6.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. SunsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.