NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c4e3cfde71fe03ed58605667235d665ba89c749dcc5d955063ccfcf48788019
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x434c…c096backed Over | 47c | 70,000$32,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,900.78 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 53c | 40,105$21,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,850.3 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Under | 53c | 12,264$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,764.15 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4136…97eabacked Under | 49c | 6,452$3,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +91%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 6,121$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.57 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 6,074$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 53c | 6,038$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.74 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd34…ebe6backed Over | 52c | 5,518$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 53c | 5,482$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.66 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 4,576$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.95 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 53c | 4,334$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.96 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 53c | 3,540$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.37 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 53c | 3,453$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.83 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7955backed Under | 54c | 2,806$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 51c | 2,586$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.76 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over | 71c | 2,395$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…1d52backed Over | 51c | 2,379$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…c2b8backed Over | 51c | 2,311$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 2,077$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.66 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 49c | 2,027$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.43 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…5ce5backed Over | 51c | 1,762$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 47c | 1,601$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.57 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Over | 51c | 1,542$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.9 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 1,191$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.77 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 47c | 1,150$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.5 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…af59backed Over | 52c | 1,148$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over | 47c | 1,086$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.2 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 51c | 1,060$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.82 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 52c | 1,040$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.2 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 47c | 990.97$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.47 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 978$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.66 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 53c | 581.87$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.06 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…5207backed Over | 52c | 553.85$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 551.68$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.59 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 15c | 522.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 41c | 470.75$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.39 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 30c | 441.44$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.08 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 61c | 343.49$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.53 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 49c | 314.53$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.02 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 313.96$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…c7aebacked Over | 69c | 307.23$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Over | 66c | 304.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Under | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.5 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 338 | 37.3%126 W · 212 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 51c | 241.79$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 217.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Over | 48c | 206.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 32c | 180.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…c7e6backed Under | 71c | 165$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 164.91$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Under | 48c | 154.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 129.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 71c | 123.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…47ddbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aad…ef0abacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…d6a8backed Over | 51c | 96.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 73c | 90.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Over | 41c | 82.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 61.2%79 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…d308backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd29…b867backed Over | 31c | 63.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 36c | 60.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…f57abacked Under | 73c | 57.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +207%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Over | 48c | 52.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 50c | 50.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 47.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed Under | 52c | 44.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 47c | 29.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 52c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 26.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 59c | 21.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Under | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 78c | 20.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…d234backed Over | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…7b0abacked Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 214.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-3.5)Warriors won
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Suns (-6.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. SunsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.