TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x434c…c096backed Over47c70,000$32,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,900.781315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-57.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under53c40,105$21,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,850.344352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fb…fe50backed Under53c12,264$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,764.155154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4136…97eabacked Under49c6,452$3,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,290.524100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+91%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over48c6,121$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.572,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c6,074$2,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,081.999,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under53c6,038$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.7441649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd34…ebe6backed Over52c5,518$2,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,86930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under53c5,482$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,576.6642648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c4,576$2,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.954,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under53c4,334$2,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.9637747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under53c3,540$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.3766250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under53c3,453$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.8370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4402,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3502…7955backed Under54c2,806$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.05683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+58.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over51c2,586$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.7625049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over71c2,395$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7054654.3%25 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee64…1d52backed Over51c2,379$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.29450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f9…c2b8backed Over51c2,311$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c2,077$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.664,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Under49c2,027$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.4312051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1880…5ce5backed Over51c1,762$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.62450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over47c1,601$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.5724942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over51c1,542$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.932150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under53c1,191$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.776,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over47c1,150$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.521247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d5…af59backed Over52c1,148$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5971457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over47c1,086$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.215147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over51c1,060$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.821,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Under52c1,040$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.218345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over47c990.97$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.473,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c978$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.665,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Over52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over53c581.87$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.0630446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.925865.5%38 W · 20 L+9.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa37a…5207backed Over52c553.85$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2883745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c551.68$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.593,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Over15c522.75$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0614636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under41c470.75$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.391,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under30c441.44$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.083,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over61c343.49$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5369049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over49c314.53$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0266646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over54c313.96$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.993,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc615…c7aebacked Over69c307.23$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.991050%5 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd38…50c3backed Over66c304.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Under30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.537930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12033837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under51c241.79$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over48c240$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c217.28$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.293,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Over48c206.35$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.054454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under52c195$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.678652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under52c192.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.363447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over32c180.62$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.083,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb0…c7e6backed Under71c165$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.953852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c164.91$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.392,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Under48c154.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5219050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c129.27$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.822,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under71c123.37$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1565649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcf…47ddbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504965.3%32 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aad…ef0abacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948d…d6a8backed Over51c96.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under73c90.81$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.813,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed Over41c82.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342030%6 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over52c82.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439642.7%41 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Over64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012961.2%79 W · 50 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc76…d308backed Over67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012464.5%80 W · 44 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd29…b867backed Over31c63.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under36c60.01$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ccd…1ec9backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.93243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.831155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3af5…f57abacked Under73c57.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+207%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under50c56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Over48c52.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.149150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under50c50.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.281,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over43c47.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.775,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under52c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0825…5e07backed Under52c44.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.551844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over47c29.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0350841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under52c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5835049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c26.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under59c21.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0465542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Under50c20.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.413750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over78c20.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1776653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95b8…d234backed Over51c20.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-70.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b2d…7b0abacked Under61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.