NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3daf7e6ebcc253da51db9ccde8c4cca35393be906ec646d123537c735cd8fc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 52c | 4,769$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.57 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 44c | 3,323$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over | 47c | 3,234$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.29 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 48c | 2,755$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.4 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Under | 74c | 2,339$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.05 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 30c | 2,155$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.49 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 45c | 1,731$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.43 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,531$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.37 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 52c | 1,257$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.32 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Over | 49c | 941.72$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 56c | 733.33$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 726.15$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.94 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 75c | 722.16$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.61 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 58c | 703.63$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Under | 56c | 571.43$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.43 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb87e…acd3backed Under | 44c | 437.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 25c | 409.06$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…5207backed Over | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 330.28$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 242.56$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 51c | 213.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 194.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 52c | 186.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 73c | 140.78$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 56c | 131.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 68c | 83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 46c | 78.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 78.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Over | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Under | 71c | 69.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Under | 54c | 66.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…2669backed Under | 60c | 66.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 42c | 58.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 58c | 47.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under | 53c | 44.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 48c | 33.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Over | 47c | 28.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9c…4bb6backed Under | 75c | 28.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 58c | 25.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 46c | 22.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-3.5)Warriors won
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Suns (-6.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. SunsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.