TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,403
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,694

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,403 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over50c60,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00032653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c17,050$8,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,5251,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under54c10,291$5,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,733.9165750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under53c9,000$4,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2301,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under53c6,500$3,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,05558449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under54c6,038$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,777.766250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under51c5,091$2,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,485.5587750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under53c4,500$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1152,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8801,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c3,560$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.444,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over51c3,456$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7581,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over45c3,201$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.6324942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Under50c2,734$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.1212950.4%65 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c9…e5c6backed Under50c2,546$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c2,223$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.864,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over45c1,800$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8101,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under50c1,464$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.1436351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under60c1,304$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.223,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c1,233$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.759,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c1,188$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5942,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c1,018$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.843,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50022143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50012850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3790…f78fbacked Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadb6…9c79backed Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c816.11$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.818,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c812$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40670246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over38c793.54$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.553,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over45c699.99$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3155547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x457f…cf1dbacked Over51c686.27$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010659.4%63 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over47c623.77$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.991,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under49c553$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.519647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c476.29$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.883,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over49c379.07$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1843,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2478…52d7backed Over52c326.92$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45b4…e428backed Under53c318.09$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.795438.9%21 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c296.34$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.212,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over50c287.98$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9925951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9684…16ecbacked Over58c258.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503060%18 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over49c193.86$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9916347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over47c175.8$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under39c171.33$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.163,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec97…a32ebacked Over52c163.46$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over49c144.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6055533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6032346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc054…7877backed Over53c122.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.072748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under10c107.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.431,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over48c104.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under54c102.05$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.051,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e1…ec41backed Over50c101.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.478839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a40…4093backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5049351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b92…c436backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd22…9cf4backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.593754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under50c77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.524330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Over46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.217331.8%55 W · 118 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under53c65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5576250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under53c64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0828243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Under43c60.87$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.78440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under51c49.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.538845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Under56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6432654.3%177 W · 149 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…37a6backed Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187855.1%43 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under55c39.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7857657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0825…5e07backed Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Under55c36.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.49150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3626956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3617353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.368450%42 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…2985backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.717545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516935.5%60 W · 109 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under53c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5741048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a7…f82ebacked Under53c30.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.272065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7109…a765backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157154.9%39 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1550948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Under51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.723651.7%122 W · 114 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Under51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.737037.3%138 W · 232 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a4b…9f51backed Under49c29.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34050%20 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under50c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7135049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over48c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9271245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under50c23.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8431155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b9…470fbacked Under50c22.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.32966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d8…48b7backed Under55c21.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.495451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Under53c20.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4613750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1036350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e2…0f6bbacked Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6edf…97a1backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x995e…223dbacked Under55c18.36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.261963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.