NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 213.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2bfa12e84ef98bc5d608f7ed72cd9e1f5f6592948413c8cdaf441359bfc3cbd

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $74,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $74,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,322 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x44d4…1970backed Under	51c	35,949$18,464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,485.13	167	52.1%87 W · 80 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over	50c	16,000$7,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,999.29	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over	49c	14,046$6,883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,882.61	524	60.1%315 W · 209 L	+35.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	50c	4,436$2,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,212.88	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	48c	3,345$1,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,605.7	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97e5…e2f4backed Over	50c	2,802$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Over	50c	2,600$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	55	32.7%18 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	50c	2,184$1,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,092.44	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	51c	2,157$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,056.86	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.99	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under	51c	1,373$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$672.55	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Over	49c	1,300$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+5.5wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	49c	1,142$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.58	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under	52c	895.78$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.87	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	49c	747.64$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.83	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	51c	560.89$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.82	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over	49c	530$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.7	196	47.4%93 W · 103 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Under	51c	407.75$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.15	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	81	38.3%31 W · 50 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over	48c	346.56$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.35	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under	52c	342$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.16	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	53c	292.36$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.76	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf406…c9bfbacked Over	54c	277.78$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	47c	203.15$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.44	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over	49c	200$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	-9.4wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over	54c	184.35$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	312	49.4%154 W · 158 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	50c	169.87$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.36	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc4…7a41backed Under	52c	164.86$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.31	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over	71c	150$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	221	70.6%156 W · 65 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	68cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Over	51c	149.1$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Over	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	137	49.6%68 W · 69 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed Under	52c	113.67$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.56	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over	53c	103.77$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	162	61.7%100 W · 62 L	+15.6wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	335	54.6%183 W · 152 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73ee…5d16backed Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Over	49c	95.63$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.65	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-3.7wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8efe…c8fbbacked Over	50c	93.61$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.8	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under	12c	92.02$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.87	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	49c	82.01$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.93	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under	51c	80$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.2	230	47.4%109 W · 121 L	+19.2wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under	50c	79.29$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.49	376	65.4%246 W · 130 L	+62.0wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over	49c	76.69$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.58	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce16…749fbacked Under	52c	72.63$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.86	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under	51c	71$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.79	239	46.4%111 W · 128 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Under	51c	70.54$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.22	127	52%66 W · 61 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61bf…9862backed Under	52c	67.31$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.31	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Under	51c	63.64$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.87	117	52.1%61 W · 56 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf464…0607backed Under	52c	63.56$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.51	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	68	47.1%32 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcf…47ddbacked Over	50c	58$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	49	65.3%32 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7178…8fb9backed Over	53c	57.04$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	63	60.3%38 W · 25 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf4…f5e5backed Under	52c	50.67$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.32	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa472…fc54backed Over	50c	50.2$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe726…958ebacked Over	54c	47.09$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.43	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97d3…3296backed Under	52c	42.23$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.27	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-7.5wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9501…4dccbacked Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6896…c672backed Under	51c	39.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.27	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceb7…f773backed Under	51c	38.53$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.7	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6909…8edbbacked Under	52c	37.38$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.94	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	-5.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x522e…02e7backed Under	52c	37.37$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.94	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f6b…7e84backed Under	52c	35.9$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.23	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b7…e0e4backed Under	52c	34.12$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.38	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-7.1wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc302…7409backed Under	52c	31.96$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.34	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over	52c	30.77$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb122…8405backed Under	52c	30.77$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.77	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-5.4wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	509	48.5%247 W · 262 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d5e…b7e4backed Over	38c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeba…d2d8backed Under	52c	29.62$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.32	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Under	51c	28.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.72	213	57.7%123 W · 90 L	+10.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over	48c	28.16$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.52	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x862d…bc9bbacked Under	52c	27.23$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.07	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over	50c	27.06$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	181	50.3%91 W · 90 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Under	52c	26.69$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.94	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ce…9a42backed Under	52c	26.19$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.69	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Under	48c	26.16$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.66	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8775…a0fdbacked Under	51c	25.54$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.39	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93c…475ebacked Over	49c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe34…9881backed Over	65c	23.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.34per pick	67cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Over	71c	22.21$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.86	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Over	50c	21.12$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	251	43%108 W · 143 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbeea…0c83backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 213.5this page
1H Spread: Suns (-3.5)Warriors won
Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Jalen Green: Points O/U 11.5No won
Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Spread: Suns (-5.5)Warriors won
Spread: Suns (-6.5)Warriors won
Warriors vs. SunsWarriors won
Warriors vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Under won
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Under won
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Under won
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Under won
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Under won
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 213.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event