TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Spurs, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,679,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,761,680

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,679,345 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets39c755,382$293,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461,979.3587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Spurs62c345,237$214,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214,188.6751844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Spurs60c328,472$197,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197,192.5423257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Hornets39c255,585$99,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155,631.6121057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d8a…e842backed Spurs61c239,437$146,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146,056.322568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Hornets40c150,000$60,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,00043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets61c113,885$69,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,981.545,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Spurs61c100,000$61,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,00017646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Spurs62c98,318$60,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,672.692,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Spurs66c65,346$42,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,819.1359646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Spurs60c50,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00016752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Hornets38c40,000$15,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,80045850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Spurs62c40,000$24,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,80019653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs22c37,379$8,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,169.471,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Hornets79c34,000$26,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,22020758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Spurs60c30,000$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,00059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Spurs46c29,999$13,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,809.151,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hornets38c26,500$10,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,4301,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Hornets38c25,000$9,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,574.921,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Spurs62c21,019$13,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,031.8861851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Hornets56c20,372$11,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,926.7248956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Hornets38c20,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,499.9735450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Spurs62c19,503$12,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,091.820349.8%101 W · 102 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Hornets39c18,931$7,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,577.5414738.1%56 W · 91 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Hornets75c18,926$14,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,731.552460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets39c16,993$6,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,389.162,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs60c16,667$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Spurs61c15,047$9,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,229.1418151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Hornets40c15,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0005648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Spurs60c15,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0005646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Spurs63c14,514$9,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,163.3420849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets40c13,715$5,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,280.441,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed Hornets74c13,092$9,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,430.215837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs60c13,073$7,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,900.029,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Spurs60c13,045$7,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,88130845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Spurs1c12,600$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6567921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x449a…a3c8backed Spurs59c11,000$6,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4901145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80c2…561cbacked Hornets41c11,000$4,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4901154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35fe…20a0backed Spurs60c10,500$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.781540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Spurs60c10,101$6,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,024.411,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Hornets38c10,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,20055346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Hornets40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs22c9,858$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,215.9289444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Spurs59c9,240$5,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,417.591546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Spurs60c9,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Hornets38c8,557$3,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,333.8948944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Hornets38c8,538$3,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,293.8328742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Spurs60c8,534$5,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,091.211,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Hornets38c8,533$3,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,290.2227747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Spurs1c8,467$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.935213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets39c8,402$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,141.514,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Spurs61c8,032$4,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,918.941,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets39c8,000$3,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,904.843,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets40c8,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Spurs64c8,000$5,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,089.994868.8%33 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Hornets56c8,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,519.997638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Spurs64c7,700$4,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,896.948451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcd…c3d4backed Hornets38c7,512$2,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,657.441963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+31.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd12c…ed3dbacked Spurs62c7,505$4,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,653.12352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked Spurs5c7,193$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.934946.9%23 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Hornets72c7,120$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.3450838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3873…c068backed Spurs34c7,020$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.314537.9%55 W · 90 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Spurs61c6,864$4,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,187.0428649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58d4…08d2backed Spurs62c6,821$4,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,229.021850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets60c6,785$4,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,680.561,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Spurs50c6,666$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,33321944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked Spurs60c6,636$3,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,981.614344.8%64 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Spurs74c6,536$4,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,815.5412951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7282…9a96backed Spurs61c6,506$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79e5…9417backed Spurs37c6,495$2,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,388.76165.6%40 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Spurs39c6,485$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.3422458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62a1…bbecbacked Spurs62c6,445$3,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,995.642035%7 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs57c6,391$3,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,619.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Hornets35c6,324$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,109.4520741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b69…a9f2backed Hornets40c6,250$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.733452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Spurs3c6,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Spurs0c5,500$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1964517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Spurs36c5,461$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.5333428.1%94 W · 240 L-20.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Spurs26c5,406$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.7528439.8%113 W · 171 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets47c5,382$2,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,844.195,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7078…5b5ebacked Spurs60c5,380$3,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,228250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Hornets38c5,327$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,302.7416440.9%67 W · 97 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Hornets40c5,166$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,123.6234654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Hornets39c5,112$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.6665750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Hornets46c5,072$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.0835744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb01…a25ebacked Hornets40c5,045$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Hornets40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0005550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Hornets38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.9758740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Hornets38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.9525753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Hornets38c4,999$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,103.8433632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Spurs0c4,905$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.338820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d2…20debacked Spurs62c4,882$3,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,027450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1046…fdebbacked Hornets40c4,656$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,793.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa26c…278dbacked Hornets38c4,600$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,851.991752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x737e…6c99backed Spurs62c4,586$2,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.321643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Spurs62c4,045$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007661.8%47 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Hornets39c4,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,46026640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bbe…b4b7backed Hornets38c4,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4801154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Hornets38c4,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.9713954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac61…2a16backed Spurs62c3,993$2,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.661315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-73.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.