NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe50b94db5a29811104dee32598f01d2d491ca98373aa37306517b6fe4dde4f72

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hornetsof Spurs, Hornets
Resolved: Jan 31, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $338,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $340,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,004 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6211…b89ebacked Hornets	52c	65,572$33,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,794.05	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Spurs	49c	55,499$27,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,067.38	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Hornets	54c	48,906$26,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,318.03	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs	48c	38,077$18,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,155.73	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs	48c	22,505$10,716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,716.05	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs	48c	19,300$9,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,264	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs	48c	18,421$8,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,818.87	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Hornets	51c	16,048$8,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,786.76	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Hornets	51c	11,053$5,668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,385.44	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets	52c	10,859$5,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,252.37	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Hornets	53c	10,000$5,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,700	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Hornets	52c	8,000$4,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,839.99	172	50%86 W · 86 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6371…d8febacked Spurs	47c	7,800$3,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,666	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x088b…bce1backed Hornets	53c	7,800$4,134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,666	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Spurs	49c	7,500$3,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,674.95	173	48.6%84 W · 89 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…14adbacked Spurs	48c	6,917$3,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,320.16	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Spurs	48c	6,250$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a47…0c54backed Spurs	48c	5,846$2,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,806.28	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x516a…a2edbacked Hornets	52c	5,782$3,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,775.47	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Hornets	53c	5,249$2,782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,467.15	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Hornets	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,449.93	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets	54c	4,578$2,451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,127.31	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Spurs	47c	4,500$2,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,094.92	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Spurs	47c	4,327$2,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,033.85	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Spurs	48c	4,256$2,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,042.67	155	49.7%77 W · 78 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Hornets	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,920	139	54.7%76 W · 63 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4592…49b6backed Hornets	52c	3,863$2,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,854.24	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e46…35efbacked Hornets	53c	3,772$1,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,772.69	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs	48c	3,324$1,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,579.45	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d1…8a29backed Hornets	53c	3,258$1,727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,531.31	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4113…e904backed Spurs	51c	3,116$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Spurs	48c	3,089$1,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,482.72	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6077…ad46backed Hornets	52c	3,054$1,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,465.92	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Hornets	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,410.04	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Spurs	51c	2,861$1,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,459	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs	47c	2,806$1,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,326.92	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hornets	61c	2,640$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.24	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Spurs	48c	2,476$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,180	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs	48c	2,260$1,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,090.85	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf22…fec5backed Hornets	52c	2,178$1,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,045.44	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6b…fba0backed Hornets	52c	2,133$1,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,023.84	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Spurs	48c	2,126$1,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.17	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets	52c	2,097$1,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,008.46	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Spurs	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	207	54.1%112 W · 95 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8a…4d82backed Spurs	48c	2,053$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985.44	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x812c…ab74backed Hornets	52c	2,052$1,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$984.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6526…188cbacked Hornets	52c	2,047$1,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$982.56	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefae…2c57backed Hornets	52c	2,044$1,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$981.12	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Spurs	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	337	35.3%119 W · 218 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5d…b4ddbacked Hornets	52c	2,037$1,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$977.76	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77aa…c7edbacked Spurs	48c	2,034$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$976.32	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7980…b2a9backed Spurs	48c	2,022$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.56	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb12b…87bfbacked Spurs	48c	2,014$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$966.72	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Spurs	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2021…ed7fbacked Hornets	52c	1,985$1,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$952.8	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9a…b49ebacked Spurs	48c	1,974$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$947.52	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5739…b8cebacked Hornets	52c	1,963$1,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$942.24	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb99b…7ebcbacked Hornets	52c	1,951$1,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936.48	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62c7…cf7bbacked Spurs	48c	1,935$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.8	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.33per pick	50cpaid	+64.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Spurs	49c	1,898$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930	209	48.8%102 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Hornets	54c	1,825$985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.44	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16af…6b3cbacked Hornets	50c	1,787$894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$893.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4871…610cbacked Hornets	50c	1,743$872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$871.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4a…2f47backed Hornets	50c	1,693$847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$846.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Hornets	49c	1,666$822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.11	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Hornets	53c	1,500$795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Spurs	47c	1,170$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Spurs	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	784	45.8%359 W · 425 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Hornets	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	142	45.1%64 W · 78 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Hornets	52c	998.8$516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.46	207	41.1%85 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Hornets	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Hornets	49c	882.48$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.06	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs	17c	789$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.65	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Hornets	52c	759.36$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.49	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00e7…6630backed Spurs	48c	730$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.4	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd71…3195backed Spurs	48c	726$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.48	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcf…c3a1backed Spurs	48c	722$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.56	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bed…ce6cbacked Spurs	48c	715$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a12…ed19backed Spurs	48c	711$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.28	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x509a…8040backed Spurs	48c	707$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.36	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf49f…06bebacked Spurs	48c	700$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x741c…9189backed Spurs	48c	680$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb84c…b8c8backed Spurs	48c	667$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Hornets	54c	650$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs	50c	600$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.64	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc79b…f1e5backed Spurs	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ee…f491backed Spurs	50c	599$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.5	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	51cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Hornets	50c	590$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c1…9428backed Spurs	50c	588$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f0f…9dbfbacked Spurs	50c	585$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.5	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.32per pick	52cpaid	+59.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7bb…1481backed Spurs	50c	580$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74c0…3a93backed Spurs	50c	578$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x697e…e024backed Spurs	50c	567$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb489…0272backed Spurs	50c	566$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b26…8619backed Spurs	50c	560$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Spurs	49c	541.37$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.47	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets	50c	541.18$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.25	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Spurs	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Spurs	30c	500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	359	42.1%151 W · 208 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5092…fccdbacked Spurs	48c	498.83$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.44	128	43.8%56 W · 72 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Hornets won
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Kon Knueppel: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 17.5No won
Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5No won
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Hornets won
Spurs vs. HornetsHornets won
Spurs vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
Spurs vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5Under won
Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Under won
Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Under won
Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Under won
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event