TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,964
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,331

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,964 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c21,312$10,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,074.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d8a…e842backed Over53c18,999$10,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,069.412568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over50c10,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,949.971,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under47c7,065$3,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,744.451,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x516a…a2edbacked Over50c5,775$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.342240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over53c5,735$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,039.551,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Under50c5,600$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8009051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c3,400$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.762,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.9741553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under47c2,979$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.7214346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under50c2,888$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.245858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Over50c2,339$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.6835450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c2,131$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.054,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.781,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c1,569$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.244,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf3…fb9dbacked Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfae…e170backed Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a35…c620backed Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e41…48d2backed Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0516…df5bbacked Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c70…8ae8backed Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fdc…212ebacked Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a35…2b72backed Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0771…cb3fbacked Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf9…22e9backed Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4383…8b0fbacked Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b85…c71abacked Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb295…08dcbacked Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6be…a65abacked Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9497…853ebacked Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b3c…0e90backed Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ce4…6076backed Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x17cf…f22ebacked Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff30…e8f8backed Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x69cd…c89ebacked Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…cae4backed Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaf1c…2d1ebacked Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ba9…8905backed Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1c3e…2753backed Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc5a0…f800backed Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ce9…0681backed Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa074…38aabacked Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc968…29ebbacked Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4194…bb28backed Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafbe…78c7backed Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1a37…d261backed Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2afa…61bcbacked Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2a…fbefbacked Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x108d…ad19backed Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe05a…d45dbacked Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc26d…b089backed Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7f…322fbacked Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb89a…55abbacked Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe14e…6d76backed Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9249…76d0backed Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd2b…c844backed Over49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7963…9aa3backed Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x544d…4756backed Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe7d5…d14fbacked Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c61…b55dbacked Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9149…c861backed Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x70bb…333bbacked Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfcd5…e588backed Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0edd…84fabacked Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x03bb…a353backed Under51c1,460$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Over53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60024323.9%58 W · 185 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under52c831.53$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.72,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3f…e0adbacked Under51c794.12$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.121233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Over49c778$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.5812540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Under50c766.14$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.0712950.4%65 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Under47c661.96$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.8411159.5%66 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8e…e61bbacked Over53c568.36$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003542.9%15 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over53c561.95$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.923,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x938e…3fb0backed Over54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5332347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c408.02$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.15,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd60…70b9backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfac…75debacked Over51c391.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.591822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-57.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x789b…4c08backed Over54c379.82$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.11936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under48c370$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.462347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked Over53c245.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under50c234$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1171,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under53c214.12$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.583,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over5c204.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2137755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10624946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10659144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9641052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f0b…8e1dbacked Under47c191.49$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.49825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under47c186.25$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7143244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x441d…7a4ebacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec6…9404backed Under47c183.19$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.091145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6781…2ff5backed Over54c118.52$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c116$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.498,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under53c114.13$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.572,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over27c110$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.571,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over52c108.33$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3320741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c103.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.061,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.