TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Spurs, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$241,814
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$242,285

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,814 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Spurs52c12,000$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,24048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Hornets48c12,000$5,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,24024252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets48c5,060$2,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.976,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Spurs52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa16b…525fbacked Hornets47c4,825$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.25475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19ff…3e4fbacked Hornets47c4,780$2,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fe…b752backed Hornets47c4,685$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets48c4,608$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.9287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc90c…eeb7backed Spurs53c4,601$2,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dff…264cbacked Hornets47c4,590$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0582…1556backed Hornets47c4,535$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb5…bbe1backed Spurs53c4,500$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,385250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f1b…9826backed Hornets47c4,354$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43b7…c38fbacked Spurs53c4,325$2,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,292.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b89…c056backed Spurs53c4,235$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6831…f24ebacked Hornets47c4,235$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…4397backed Spurs53c4,122$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b3…7579backed Spurs53c4,112$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f1…1252backed Hornets47c4,040$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x046e…b57bbacked Spurs53c4,023$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdecc…f779backed Hornets47c4,013$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Hornets44c3,918$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,194.2926544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x466d…271abacked Spurs53c3,890$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d3…5530backed Hornets47c3,890$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ab8…73eebacked Hornets47c3,876$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe485…da3fbacked Hornets47c3,788$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9953…0814backed Spurs53c3,705$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x534b…7b78backed Hornets47c3,655$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30c…f094backed Hornets47c3,654$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bfb…00a7backed Hornets47c3,652$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,935.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x173f…100dbacked Spurs53c3,644$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae21…ce61backed Hornets47c3,632$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1e…8766backed Hornets47c3,629$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b68…bfefbacked Spurs53c3,628$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.84955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf851…5366backed Spurs53c3,625$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6054…a030backed Spurs53c3,621$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e2f…fa93backed Spurs53c3,610$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ff…6544backed Spurs53c3,586$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.58785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+69.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4e3…0abbbacked Spurs53c3,580$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb80e…e829backed Spurs53c3,580$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d2…e5f9backed Spurs53c3,574$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…6ed2backed Hornets47c3,554$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7371…6704backed Spurs53c3,524$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2fd…8914backed Hornets47c3,524$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3768…ca28backed Hornets47c3,500$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x570a…fe3ebacked Hornets47c3,452$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.56966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3432…19ccbacked Hornets47c3,444$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…d553backed Spurs53c3,425$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cd6…40ccbacked Hornets47c3,425$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd65c…07b9backed Spurs53c3,405$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x730b…619dbacked Spurs53c3,384$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3715…78debacked Spurs53c3,382$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaefc…d465backed Hornets47c3,368$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,785.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ead…1c81backed Spurs53c3,344$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89be…5b63backed Hornets47c3,330$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf281…c0e0backed Spurs53c3,321$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9cc…d592backed Hornets47c3,321$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa28d…92b3backed Hornets47c3,308$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd9…c6dcbacked Spurs53c3,304$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b6…7524backed Spurs53c3,284$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb14d…6f39backed Hornets47c3,266$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344c…ba41backed Spurs53c3,262$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x052d…4f16backed Hornets47c3,242$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f4…cfb2backed Hornets47c3,156$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x930e…7881backed Hornets47c3,150$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…6d30backed Spurs53c3,127$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43be…2159backed Spurs53c3,125$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4530…59b5backed Spurs53c3,125$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8047…0a8dbacked Spurs53c3,122$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.66650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc870…ca2abacked Hornets47c3,120$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c5…4736backed Spurs53c3,054$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a0…ccfdbacked Hornets47c3,021$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Spurs52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9941553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98aa…023bbacked Hornets47c2,970$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85a9…fda4backed Hornets47c2,907$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4799…07febacked Hornets47c2,884$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c2…943ebacked Hornets47c2,810$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d1…9e2bbacked Spurs53c2,761$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.3320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd88a…0faebacked Spurs53c2,728$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…298ebacked Spurs53c2,727$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfac5…364fbacked Hornets47c2,716$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c3a…fb99backed Hornets47c2,702$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b3…9d94backed Spurs53c2,688$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb563…9e3ebacked Hornets47c2,686$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfd…40c9backed Hornets47c2,682$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…b14bbacked Spurs53c2,672$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…7d61backed Spurs53c2,656$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8292…9dafbacked Spurs53c2,644$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54c0…b314backed Spurs53c2,610$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe946…d0bebacked Spurs53c2,515$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c51…eb8cbacked Hornets47c2,463$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8861…4c2ebacked Spurs52c2,400$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2483860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2480…ac25backed Spurs53c2,352$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d99…5275backed Spurs53c2,255$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x777a…bfdbbacked Spurs53c2,231$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Spurs56c2,191$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.852460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91e3…1580backed Spurs53c2,166$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets47c2,139$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c24…a5bbbacked Hornets47c2,052$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc121…4158backed Hornets47c2,045$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.