TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Hornets: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Spurs, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,833

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,966 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs52c1,314$686 inLost-$685.755,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Hornets56c1,228$688 inWon+$540.3948956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d8…dc4abacked Hornets48c429.5$206 inWon+$223.34616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hornets43c405.76$175 inWon+$230.632,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Hornets43c300$128 inWon+$17214924.8%37 W · 112 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Spurs75c200$150 inLost-$1501,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Hornets25c164$41 inWon+$12376054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Hornets44c160.56$71 inWon+$89.9143244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Hornets43c140.52$61 inWon+$79.5566646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs57c100$57 inLost-$573,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Spurs58c100$58 inLost-$5863555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Hornets33c89.81$30 inWon+$60.261,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hornets38c60.72$23 inWon+$37.652,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96a8…077bbacked Spurs42c47.62$20 inLost-$209767%65 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53e…bda9backed Spurs62c38.46$24 inLost-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc573…cdacbacked Spurs62c25$15 inLost-$15.391947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2996…73debacked Spurs72c18.06$13 inLost-$1313744.5%61 W · 76 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.