NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e5e0a804da4becd14e73e0fb1e12fa252d7afae827a0182cee1ad2a44483434

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 31, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,062
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $24,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,062 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under	44c	6,021$2,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,350.28	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over	57c	3,896$2,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,202.9	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over	58c	2,666$1,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,533.08	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over	2c	1,800$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under	37c	1,683$614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,068.61	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	60c	1,479$883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.01	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	49c	1,252$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.39	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed Over	48c	1,084$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.35	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over	51c	900$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over	6c	780.26$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.95	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under	47c	639$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.67	406	48%195 W · 211 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	52c	631.41$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.08	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under	41c	606.59$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.89	207	41.1%85 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	45c	531.15$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.59	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over	57c	397.79$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.21	207	28.5%59 W · 148 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf406…c9bfbacked Over	52c	341.22$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under	59c	311.74$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.88	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	54c	306$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.7	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	43c	299.98$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.99	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x800f…1535backed Over	41c	277.88$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.18	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under	49c	226.54$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.5	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	46c	223.23$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.84	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over	58c	221.3$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	625	46.9%293 W · 332 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6c…fe22backed Over	52c	192.92$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.32	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf632…02aabacked Over	35c	188.75$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.68	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Under	67c	186$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.32	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bab…78e2backed Over	55c	180.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	128	46.9%60 W · 68 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x266d…083fbacked Over	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	56	64.3%36 W · 20 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under	45c	172.77$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.02	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under	45c	153.7$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.54	531	49.3%262 W · 269 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Over	57c	148.42$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.2	150	31.3%47 W · 103 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	45c	130$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.8	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	44c	119.01$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.95	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	54c	113.89$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.14	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Over	51c	110.44$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.34	127	52%66 W · 61 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over	41c	110$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.56	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe384…7fafbacked Over	49c	107.62$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.73	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43b3…6193backed Over	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	62cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Over	51c	99.96$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.98	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f18…2080backed Over	58c	99$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.42	248	50%124 W · 124 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	47c	96.87$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.34	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66cb…3111backed Over	53c	93.4$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc236…e3d3backed Under	54c	93.28$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.91	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+15%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x871a…7be4backed Over	56c	89.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	173	59%102 W · 71 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	44c	86.6$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.5	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over	51c	84.31$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	216	42.1%91 W · 125 L	-15.6wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under	55c	81$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.69	172	43%74 W · 98 L	-12.4wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over	55c	70$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under	46c	66.46$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.62	383	47%180 W · 203 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Over	53c	66.04$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	165	55.2%91 W · 74 L	-12.1wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over	56c	58.93$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under	63c	54.75$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.26	557	51.9%289 W · 268 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fff…479fbacked Under	44c	53.43$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.94	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d37…5b73backed Over	50c	50.34$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe62e…d3e2backed Under	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	106	44.3%47 W · 59 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Over	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under	73c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	432	46.1%199 W · 233 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	47c	45.86$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.31	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Over	74c	45.74$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.85	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Over	74c	45.19$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.44	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Over	74c	44.08$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.62	215	46.5%100 W · 115 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fec…871cbacked Over	74c	43.47$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.17	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df5…b0ffbacked Under	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0812…6331backed Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-4.1wins	-0.12per pick	69cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Over	59c	35.88$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.15	117	52.1%61 W · 56 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Over	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	133	52.6%70 W · 63 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Over	57c	34.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	281	40.6%114 W · 167 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a0…993dbacked Over	57c	34.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	77	24.7%19 W · 58 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under	50c	33.34$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	376	65.4%246 W · 130 L	+62.0wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xbcd2…ab94backed Over	40c	32.2$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d3e…6a59backed Over	56c	30.36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe9…7d92backed Over	49c	30.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7808…3046backed Over	74c	24.3$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.98	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9569…86f8backed Over	46c	22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	58c	21.98$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.33	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x828c…fb4cbacked Over	57c	21.92$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74e2…89a5backed Under	56c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce16…749fbacked Over	63c	19.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.23	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cf4…f5e5backed Over	59c	17.21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.07	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73ee…5d16backed Over	74c	14.68$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.86	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f8…5bf4backed Over	73c	14.22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed Over	74c	14.12$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Hornets won
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Kon Knueppel: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 17.5No won
Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5No won
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Hornets won
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Hornets won
Spurs vs. HornetsHornets won
Spurs vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
Spurs vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Under won
Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Under won
Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Under won
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event