NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0334b4f42c37082b891908090b0710f141a5bada939eec794a5df317b8999daa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Under | 52c | 34,349$17,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,650.14 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 33,642$16,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,538.17 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 5,578$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.6 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…0974backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 51c | 252.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 49c | 245.38$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 54c | 217.38$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 155.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 151.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Over | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 120.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 53c | 117.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Over | 51c | 104.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 51c | 103.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 50c | 88.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 54c | 82.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…f82ebacked Under | 51c | 53.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Over | 50c | 43.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 42c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 370 | 37.3%138 W · 232 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…0b62backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 48c | 38.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 32.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 328 | 66.5%218 W · 110 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 51c | 25.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 65c | 24.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 72c | 20.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Hornets won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spurs vs. HornetsHornets won
- Spurs vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Spurs vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.