NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e0637c8aec3ec48716b40d737070616b8f06bebc093c770e8040aecec86c7cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,950,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,166,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,950,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Bulls | 35c | 302,988$105,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197,632.37 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Bulls | 34c | 293,444$98,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194,607.25 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Heat | 67c | 279,870$187,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187,055.87 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Heat | 65c | 203,151$132,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132,048.43 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Heat | 66c | 144,000$95,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,040 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Heat | 67c | 135,855$90,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,825.8 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls | 33c | 77,763$25,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,809.88 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 22c | 63,330$13,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,956.27 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Bulls | 35c | 57,143$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,142.86 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls | 34c | 49,167$16,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,674.47 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f2…2a5dbacked Bulls | 31c | 44,045$13,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,188.7 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 34c | 43,837$14,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,927.25 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Bulls | 41c | 42,999$17,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,429.34 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Heat | 65c | 40,000$25,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,899.99 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 65c | 39,373$25,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,689.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 66c | 34,712$22,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,828.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Bulls | 66c | 30,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Heat | 64c | 29,183$18,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,677.13 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Heat | 53c | 27,959$14,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,814.38 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…ccd1backed Bulls | 38c | 27,745$10,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,336.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Bulls | 22c | 25,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,499.98 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…24f9backed Heat | 65c | 24,616$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bc…38a5backed Heat | 65c | 23,072$14,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,996.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 3c | 20,317$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.17 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Heat | 56c | 20,184$11,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,333.02 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Heat | 65c | 20,100$13,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,065 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…33a8backed Heat | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Heat | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Heat | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulls | 62c | 18,238$11,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,866.15 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Heat | 45c | 18,155$8,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,229.33 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Heat | 63c | 15,899$10,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,016.09 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Heat | 63c | 15,500$9,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,764.79 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Heat | 66c | 15,050$9,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,933 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Heat | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,450 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Heat | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,450 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Heat | 38c | 14,849$5,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,631.55 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Heat | 35c | 14,124$4,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,973.44 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Heat | 64c | 14,006$8,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,963.84 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 48c | 13,514$6,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,427.32 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat | 66c | 13,441$8,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,889 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Heat | 62c | 13,219$8,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,153.09 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 66c | 12,635$8,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,349.29 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Bulls | 37c | 12,397$4,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,827.94 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 63c | 12,333$7,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,824.41 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 53c | 11,637$6,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,412.36 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Heat | 68c | 11,501$7,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,820.81 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Heat | 58c | 10,042$5,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,795.47 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Bulls | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked Heat | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Bulls | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Bulls | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Bulls | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.99 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Heat | 65c | 9,969$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,479.63 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Heat | 66c | 9,930$6,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,504.5 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Heat | 66c | 9,909$6,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,582 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…20a0backed Bulls | 33c | 9,899$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,632.16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Heat | 66c | 9,474$6,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,253.11 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Bulls | 34c | 9,089$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,998.71 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Heat | 65c | 8,600$5,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,590 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Bulls | 69c | 8,010$5,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.93 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Heat | 66c | 7,500$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Heat | 66c | 7,441$4,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,911.19 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Heat | 62c | 7,200$4,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,463.98 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Bulls | 37c | 7,199$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,535.37 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Heat | 61c | 7,069$4,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,345.53 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…c0c0backed Bulls | 46c | 7,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Bulls | 34c | 6,891$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,548.08 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Heat | 67c | 6,582$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Bulls | 49c | 6,257$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.07 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bulls | 35c | 6,066$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942.96 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Heat | 43c | 6,060$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.95 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Heat | 56c | 6,014$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.62 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Heat | 1c | 6,010$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26c…278dbacked Bulls | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x737e…6c99backed Heat | 64c | 5,893$3,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,771.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Heat | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Bulls | 35c | 5,787$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,787.4 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Bulls | 37c | 5,640$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.54 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Heat | 57c | 5,489$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.39 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b1…bc01backed Bulls | 34c | 5,294$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…08d2backed Heat | 65c | 5,262$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Heat | 67c | 5,168$3,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,443.96 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Heat | 66c | 5,157$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…b869backed Heat | 66c | 5,152$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Bulls | 33c | 5,100$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.99 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c26…cf53backed Heat | 10c | 5,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Heat | 53c | 5,086$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.77 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 63c | 5,052$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Bulls | 35c | 5,015$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.75 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…f13fbacked Bulls | 35c | 5,005$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,253.25 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Heat | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Heat | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Heat | 67c | 4,937$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.79 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b69…a9f2backed Bulls | 61c | 4,930$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.17 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4175…275bbacked Heat | 66c | 4,848$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Heat | 66c | 4,842$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.5 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…8303backed Bulls | 34c | 4,706$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc99d…9687backed Bulls | 41c | 4,640$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdb…901ebacked Heat | 59c | 4,640$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Heatthis page
- Bulls vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Bulls vs. Heat: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 231.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 232.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 238.5Over won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Coby White: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Coby White: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.