TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,053
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,053 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under58c15,693$9,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,149.9340446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over42c12,689$5,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,344.249,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30dd…cbfdbacked Under0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under68c4,393$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,978.362369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf539…1b96backed Under52c4,211$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1353…f1d2backed Over48c4,142$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x027e…2778backed Over48c4,052$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbff…7140backed Under52c4,012$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.24450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe067…84b9backed Under52c4,011$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa47d…98fabacked Under52c4,011$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9821…1cf8backed Over48c3,942$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f20…db39backed Over48c3,866$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cf5…e426backed Under52c3,844$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb373…7ed6backed Over48c3,808$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc312…06b9backed Under52c3,766$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x170e…f50abacked Under52c3,742$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77c3…b0debacked Under52c3,712$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b3e…92b4backed Over48c3,621$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be0…9d3abacked Over48c3,611$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+58.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb1e…ce39backed Over48c3,482$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb346…d988backed Over48c3,455$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb71f…5b13backed Under52c3,421$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dde…28a2backed Over48c3,415$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7208…2fd6backed Under52c3,412$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3353…d90fbacked Over48c3,411$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x801f…ddc3backed Under52c3,312$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb1a…ecc3backed Over48c3,290$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc142…4fc1backed Over48c3,081$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x768d…2432backed Under52c3,052$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ca…fa38backed Over48c3,028$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09be…5a1ebacked Under52c3,025$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a8c…92acbacked Over48c2,999$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa69a…cf83backed Under52c2,991$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7678…935fbacked Over48c2,982$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0862…f462backed Under52c2,980$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd86c…867dbacked Under52c2,945$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03d7…4e26backed Over48c2,933$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c47…91eebacked Over48c2,920$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6de…4fe7backed Under52c2,914$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x798c…20d7backed Under52c2,910$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf931…25bbbacked Over48c2,899$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17eb…81e1backed Over48c2,876$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d3…af34backed Under52c2,855$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc9…c91cbacked Over48c2,846$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbad…c06abacked Under52c2,844$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f56…3cdbbacked Under52c2,802$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc354…b66fbacked Over48c2,794$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0a…3f75backed Under52c2,770$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb606…b058backed Over48c2,755$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c7…b83bbacked Under52c2,749$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60dc…3ef0backed Over48c2,722$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.44683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+61.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31a9…844cbacked Over48c2,703$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.56450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf071…f661backed Under52c2,699$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.4830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc819…5e0fbacked Over48c2,680$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee6d…ac09backed Under52c2,673$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb18e…c414backed Under52c2,642$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde12…0b42backed Under52c2,633$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a406backed Over48c2,623$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x701d…f99fbacked Over48c2,618$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.36475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2716…03bebacked Under52c2,601$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf7…88d7backed Under52c2,588$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b05…bad2backed Over48c2,575$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe47b…65f2backed Under52c2,555$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e0…3adcbacked Over48c2,548$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.96450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb92…10b2backed Over48c2,533$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b32…8cb8backed Under52c2,515$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3a…3c18backed Under52c2,514$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcde…bb44backed Over48c2,501$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under59c2,339$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.33,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c1,944$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.884,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.081,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over42c1,905$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.7614346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over35c1,500$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9701,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over37c1,484$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.13,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed Over41c1,236$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.087356.2%41 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over39c1,100$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6715547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61071547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under61c980.32$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59824549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under45c787.51$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.6528537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over38c568.94$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.063,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over72c555.14$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over10c392.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.8618835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Over15c320.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.8114636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over39c300.35$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.181,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Over41c254.88$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.386946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c240.59$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.12,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under61c239.93$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.361,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over43c212$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8443244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x939a…2f45backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c3…5e28backed Under52c180.35$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.78650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Over39c135.9$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.96741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over38c123.51$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.646,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed Over42c89.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.199247.8%44 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over41c85.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3733442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over45c70.96$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.31,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Over38c70$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.47753.2%41 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under51c64.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6659144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over33c61.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.223,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over39c60.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7650841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.