NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x250d5552191b9e37c942d2cc5516cb04f597efc401d546371c94d8ef88dd7676

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bullsof Heat, Bulls
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $518,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $524,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $518,734 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x20a9…e9b6backed Heat	52c	113,561$59,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59,051.84	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Bulls	48c	59,246$28,438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,807.74	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Bulls	47c	46,999$22,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,909.64	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Heat	53c	44,605$23,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,603.15	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Bulls	49c	40,000$19,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,400	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Bulls	50c	34,000$17,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,000	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Bulls	48c	15,260$7,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,935.01	524	60.1%315 W · 209 L	+35.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Heat	47c	15,042$7,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,142.48	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Heat	50c	13,400$6,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,700	293	51.5%151 W · 142 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe36b…26f4backed Heat	53c	13,151$6,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,970	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.6wins	-0.38per pick	52cpaid	-72%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Heat	50c	11,580$5,795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,795.05	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Heat	51c	11,125$5,674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,673.82	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Bulls	48c	10,182$4,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,294.63	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Heat	50c	9,970$4,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,984.86	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls	48c	9,309$4,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,820.39	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heat	52c	9,000$4,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,690	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Heat	50c	8,584$4,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,305	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Heat	50c	8,546$4,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,273	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls	49c	7,823$3,838 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,985.19	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Heat	53c	7,545$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Heat	54c	7,145$3,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,833	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Heat	53c	6,629$3,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,487.44	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Bulls	50c	6,500$3,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,250	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Bulls	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,060	197	47.7%94 W · 103 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls	47c	5,281$2,462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,818.62	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Bulls	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,549.98	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls	53c	4,938$2,613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,324.89	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Heat	51c	4,922$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Heat	52c	4,800$2,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,496	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1d1…0139backed Heat	49c	3,713$1,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,819.59	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x730f…952cbacked Bulls	51c	3,713$1,894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,819.37	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Bulls	50c	2,800$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,399.99	236	44.1%104 W · 132 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Heat	54c	2,744$1,482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,482	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Bulls	49c	2,500$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,274.89	267	55.8%149 W · 118 L	+12.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls	49c	2,417$1,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,235.33	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat	51c	2,416$1,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,231.53	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Heat	51c	2,233$1,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,131.88	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Bulls	51c	2,157$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,056.86	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb42…48ccbacked Bulls	47c	2,128$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,127.66	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Heat	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	801	46.4%372 W · 429 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43ab…b6ffbacked Heat	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	85	55.3%47 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Heat	50c	1,752$876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$876.01	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Bulls	47c	1,500$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$790	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Heat	8c	1,496$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.03	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Heat	53c	1,415$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Heat	46c	1,344$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.2	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Heat	44c	1,291$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.33	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Heat	8c	1,116$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.29	353	26.6%94 W · 259 L	+21.9wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+31%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Bulls	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	409	47.7%195 W · 214 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Bulls	49c	999.62$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.81	432	47.5%205 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Bulls	49c	922.45$452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.45	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f89…8ed0backed Bulls	55c	908.6$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.87	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Bulls	55c	836.78$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.78	218	52.8%115 W · 103 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Heat	51c	784.31$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	284	48.2%137 W · 147 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	49c	775.28$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.77	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bulls	47c	707.1$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.33	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls	48c	673.34$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.63	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Bulls	51c	644.6$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.85	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Heat	7c	635.03$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.52	760	54.6%415 W · 345 L	+56.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Heat	46c	620$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.87	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43f1…04e9backed Bulls	52c	604.31$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.07	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Bulls	52c	600$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Bulls	53c	567$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.49	406	48%195 W · 211 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Heat	9c	516.24$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.16	146	36.3%53 W · 93 L	+16.4wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Bulls	52c	499.99$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Bulls	49c	470.75$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.79	165	39.4%65 W · 100 L	-11.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Heat	39c	460.39$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.68	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Heat	16c	456.12$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.53	216	42.1%91 W · 125 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Bulls	49c	444$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.44	143	34.3%49 W · 94 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Bulls	47c	340.43$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.43	238	47.1%112 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Heat	13c	332.93$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.57	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Heat	46c	328.98$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.75	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3277…be5fbacked Bulls	50c	300.02$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.01	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3397…f5abbacked Bulls	53c	300$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Heat	7c	294.05$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.72	591	41.8%247 W · 344 L	-26.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Heat	46c	291.5$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.09	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls	49c	282.47$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.85	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bulls	48c	267.27$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.71	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Bulls	48c	250$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Heat	51c	245.1$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	150	52.7%79 W · 71 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Heat	33c	241.67$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.97	397	36.3%144 W · 253 L	-27.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked Heat	46c	225$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.5	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-4.6wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Heat	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Heat	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Bulls	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	173	31.8%55 W · 118 L	-16.5wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Bulls	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Bulls	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bulls	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Heat	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	165	52.7%87 W · 78 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Heat	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Bulls	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	217	49.3%107 W · 110 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f0…299bbacked Heat	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Heat	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Bulls	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Bulls	55c	182.79$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.79	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d5…d4d3backed Bulls	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Heat	51c	176.52$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	659	50.8%335 W · 324 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Bulls	51c	174.79$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.65	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Bulls	51c	159.01$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.17	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe113…375dbacked Bulls	49c	143.06$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.96	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event