NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa119a31874037dafade24372a701f0b176d89f810664e676deb1356483795c25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 59c | 100,000$59,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,999.99 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 41c | 74,324$30,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,851.18 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 41c | 10,047$4,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,902.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 51c | 7,640$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.76 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 60c | 5,135$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.06 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Over | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3b…8b86backed Over | 50c | 4,724$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…bdcbbacked Under | 50c | 4,448$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…1c18backed Over | 50c | 4,011$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e11…7c1fbacked Under | 50c | 3,924$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…1260backed Over | 50c | 3,464$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…78aebacked Under | 50c | 3,457$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…498ebacked Under | 50c | 3,428$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6e…7f20backed Under | 50c | 3,299$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…9f7ebacked Under | 50c | 3,218$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4c…c5cfbacked Over | 50c | 3,212$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7e…9364backed Over | 50c | 3,211$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 41c | 3,172$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.63 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…77e5backed Over | 50c | 3,152$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 2,661$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.53 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 49c | 2,564$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.28 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 58c | 2,035$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.87 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…844cbacked Under | 50c | 2,033$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x701d…f99fbacked Over | 50c | 2,012$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcde…bb44backed Over | 50c | 2,012$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…3adcbacked Under | 50c | 1,952$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…935fbacked Under | 50c | 1,866$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…c06abacked Under | 50c | 1,856$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…88d7backed Over | 50c | 1,822$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a406backed Under | 50c | 1,742$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 49c | 1,716$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.33 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb92…10b2backed Over | 50c | 1,679$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,636$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…3ef0backed Under | 50c | 1,477$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…81e1backed Over | 50c | 1,452$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb606…b058backed Over | 50c | 1,428$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c47…91eebacked Over | 50c | 1,388$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…b83bbacked Over | 50c | 1,321$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…3cdbbacked Under | 50c | 1,121$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8c…92acbacked Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde12…0b42backed Over | 50c | 1,012$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…4e26backed Under | 50c | 1,011$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc819…5e0fbacked Over | 50c | 1,011$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 49c | 1,005$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.98 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b05…bad2backed Under | 50c | 977$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Under | 60c | 917.46$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.45 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf071…f661backed Under | 50c | 899$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0a…3f75backed Over | 50c | 841$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 42c | 838.8$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.86 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…867dbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb18e…c414backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 771.05$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.11 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc354…b66fbacked Over | 50c | 766$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…20d7backed Over | 50c | 680$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 40c | 642$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.2 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…cf83backed Under | 50c | 635$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…65f2backed Over | 50c | 629$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 45c | 586.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 41c | 568$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.12 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…f462backed Over | 50c | 512$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 506$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.42 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3a…3c18backed Under | 50c | 488$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 459.25$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.35 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 40c | 351.32$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.31 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc9…c91cbacked Over | 50c | 342$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Under | 59c | 340$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2716…03bebacked Over | 50c | 288$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…2728backed Under | 59c | 285.53$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf931…25bbbacked Under | 50c | 276$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 52c | 260.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 213.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…8cb8backed Under | 50c | 206$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 44c | 201.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…7657backed Over | 41c | 159.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…af34backed Over | 50c | 145$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 45c | 144.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 45c | 120.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e1…4cc7backed Over | 42c | 118.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 114.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2531…a7c4backed Under | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 107.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6de…4fe7backed Under | 50c | 101$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 52c | 92.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Over | 45c | 76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 41c | 74.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 45c | 69.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d15…2d65backed Under | 68c | 68.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 55c | 62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 46c | 61.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…02c1backed Under | 41c | 61.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 235.5this page
- Bulls vs. HeatBulls won
- Bulls vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Bulls vs. Heat: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 231.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 232.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 238.5Over won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Coby White: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Coby White: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.