NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4c539f79e18245d0995e5941cadbaa8fa4596715d798c110b1a1cd471b5ee3b

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bullsof Heat, Bulls
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $175,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $178,521

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,823 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Heat	56c	53,999$30,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,239.69	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls	45c	30,700$13,755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,944.64	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Heat	55c	20,300$11,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,161.99	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33d0…f7ebbacked Heat	55c	19,989$10,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,994	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-10.1wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls	44c	18,770$8,259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,511.38	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Heat	53c	10,531$5,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,557.48	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20a9…e9b6backed Bulls	45c	9,184$4,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,051.07	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Bulls	44c	7,002$3,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,920.9	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls	48c	6,344$3,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,327.05	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls	47c	5,971$2,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,158.9	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	53c	5,865$3,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,082.21	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bulls	44c	4,918$2,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,754.12	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	55c	3,796$2,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,093.79	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls	44c	3,202$1,422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,779.81	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43ab…b6ffbacked Heat	56c	2,678$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.89	85	55.3%47 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Heat	55c	2,289$1,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,254.36	104	59.6%62 W · 42 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+23%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Heat	53c	2,279$1,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,207.87	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01be…ecc1backed Bulls	44c	2,272$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,272.32	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Bulls	47c	2,146$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,138.15	196	47.4%93 W · 103 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls	47c	1,951$917 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,034.06	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Heat	56c	1,580$885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$884.68	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Heat	53c	1,540$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816.3	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Heat	55c	1,273$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat	55c	1,167$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.82	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Heat	55c	1,091$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Bulls	49c	999.99$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	133	55.6%74 W · 59 L	+8.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Heat	55c	839.99$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Heat	55c	799.99$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	456	47.1%215 W · 241 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Heat	54c	778.7$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.68	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Heat	55c	756.52$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.09	416	52.2%217 W · 199 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Heat	53c	754$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.62	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bulls	47c	585.11$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.11	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Bulls	45c	571.69$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.15	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Bulls	46c	510$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.5	165	39.4%65 W · 100 L	-11.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Bulls	45c	467$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.85	191	47.6%91 W · 100 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd94a…2728backed Heat	56c	465.49$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.67	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Heat	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Heat	56c	357.14$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Bulls	45c	304.18$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.3	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Bulls	45c	288.89$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.89	660	46.8%309 W · 351 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Bulls	44c	279$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.24	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Bulls	47c	266.14$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.05	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Bulls	44c	258.77$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.01	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Bulls	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	205	52.2%107 W · 98 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Bulls	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Heat	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bulls	45c	200$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f18…2080backed Heat	56c	200$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	248	50%124 W · 124 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63f4…83a0backed Heat	51c	154.55$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.82	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11de…4e67backed Bulls	44c	153.33$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.86	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Bulls	44c	147.7$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.71	212	43.4%92 W · 120 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Bulls	45c	137.87$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.01	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Bulls	44c	127.95$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.65	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Heat	55c	109.09$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Heat	48c	108$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.84	378	50.3%190 W · 188 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Heat	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Bulls	44c	100$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97e5…e2f4backed Heat	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Bulls	44c	89.91$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.91	397	36.3%144 W · 253 L	-27.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Heat	58c	86.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Heat	56c	80.36$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda1d…5402backed Bulls	44c	70.52$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.49	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a50…ed0fbacked Bulls	44c	68.18$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Heat	55c	67.19$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.95	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4827…080dbacked Bulls	66c	64.45$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.91	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Heat	56c	60$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	421	46.1%194 W · 227 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Bulls	45c	58$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.9	75	57.3%43 W · 32 L	+6.7wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bulls	45c	56.63$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.96	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Heat	57c	52.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	210	51.4%108 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Heat	51c	51.66$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.42	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb9d…c3eebacked Bulls	44c	47.73$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.73	106	57.5%61 W · 45 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat	53c	45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.85	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Bulls	46c	43.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74ea…15b7backed Bulls	45c	38.55$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.27	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Bulls	45c	38$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.9	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cce…ebfebacked Heat	55c	37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.35	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Bulls	44c	33.94$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.94	509	48.5%247 W · 262 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Bulls	47c	31.68$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.79	281	47.7%134 W · 147 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7337…0cd1backed Bulls	44c	30.73$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.21	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd0d8…a90ebacked Heat	56c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12e3…a336backed Bulls	44c	27.41$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.35	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-6.3wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8a5f…a8a0backed Heat	55c	27.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.06	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997c…8f9fbacked Heat	56c	26.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Heat	56c	26.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.96	163	43.6%71 W · 92 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x971c…f72cbacked Heat	51c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Bulls	44c	23.45$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.13	164	43.9%72 W · 92 L	-9.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Bulls	44c	23.45$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.13	150	40%60 W · 90 L	-14.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Heat	48c	21.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7bd…d82dbacked Heat	55c	21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-6.0wins	-0.21per pick	53cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x40a6…a17ebacked Bulls	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	121	48.8%59 W · 62 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7081…2d9cbacked Bulls	52c	19.51$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.36	108	57.4%62 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Heat	56c	19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	470	45.1%212 W · 258 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Bulls	63c	18.77$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.94	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event