NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 232.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fd3119540b62b226fa85a6a0c51ccdfcb1ea6b565d1977e46f4c5e5949aeda5

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $628,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $636,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $628,118 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1d8a…e842backed Under	56c	204,731$114,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114,887.32	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+3.5wins	+0.14per pick	54cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	47c	177,449$84,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93,410.98	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under	52c	123,585$64,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64,264.2	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	44c	106,030$46,915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,114.85	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Over	50c	60,000$29,963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,037.43	167	52.1%87 W · 80 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under	51c	56,021$28,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,335.24	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over	44c	35,746$15,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,016.04	55	34.5%19 W · 36 L	-6.5wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under	51c	25,000$12,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,749.99	293	51.5%151 W · 142 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over	49c	12,245$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,244.9	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Over	48c	11,875$5,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,175	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	47c	11,569$5,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,173.29	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	53c	10,001$5,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,267.2	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,300	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	49c	9,632$4,702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,930.26	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	52c	9,000$4,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,649.97	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under	52c	7,859$4,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,086.56	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over	66c	7,560$4,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,570.03	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under	49c	7,471$3,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,657.72	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under	55c	6,967$3,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,805.82	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under	52c	6,573$3,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,417.92	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	47c	5,931$2,763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,167.75	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde5d…e2d7backed Under	55c	5,589$3,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,050.08	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-3.8wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under	2c	5,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	298	10.4%31 W · 267 L	+22.5wins	+0.08per pick	3cpaid	+230.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over	48c	4,583$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,383.33	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Over	48c	4,167$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,166.67	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20a9…e9b6backed Over	49c	4,161$2,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,122.16	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,559.99	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under	15c	2,840$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426	188	35.1%66 W · 122 L	+24.5wins	+0.13per pick	22cpaid	+116.5%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over	48c	2,586$1,243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,342.85	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Over	49c	2,316$1,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,181.71	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	53c	2,075$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under	52c	2,031$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.12	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Under	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.94	801	46.4%372 W · 429 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Over	46c	1,900$873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,027.31	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-8.7wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	43c	1,683$724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.1	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under	51c	1,482$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755.75	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x789b…4c08backed Under	56c	1,325$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743.07	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	54c	1,291$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.84	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Over	45c	1,200$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660	173	31.8%55 W · 118 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	50c	1,130$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	46c	1,106$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594.88	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Over	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	133	55.6%74 W · 59 L	+8.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under	37c	950.95$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.91	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Over	48c	826$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.52	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd94a…2728backed Under	52c	809.5$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.94	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over	48c	717.07$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.21	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over	48c	625$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325	219	43.4%95 W · 124 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under	35c	613.71$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.8	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	43c	575.72$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.62	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over	48c	520.83$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.83	253	47%119 W · 134 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2745…a5fbbacked Under	54c	422.89$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.36	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under	77c	402$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.54	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	48c	396.98$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.04	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee4f…c0f0backed Under	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec5…257ebacked Over	78c	367$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.06	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe62e…d3e2backed Under	35c	353.29$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.65	106	44.3%47 W · 59 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Under	52c	336.54$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	39c	318.27$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.33	766	53.5%410 W · 356 L	+65.5wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Under	52c	300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fec…871cbacked Over	44c	299.02$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.51	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	49c	295.63$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.67	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Over	47c	260.61$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.1	164	43.9%72 W · 92 L	-9.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa87f…68d1backed Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Over	48c	193.05$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.73	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	98	44.9%44 W · 54 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over	49c	187.5$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.63	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over	48c	176.92$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.6	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over	48c	169$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.59	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over	48c	167.23$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.23	624	50%312 W · 312 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	49c	166.28$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.45	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over	49c	150.48$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.74	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under	53c	150.02$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.01	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fff…479fbacked Over	45c	144.02$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.21	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7789…14c0backed Under	51c	138$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.38	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Over	43c	128.16$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.05	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over	48c	120.43$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.97	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over	48c	120$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.4	216	45.8%99 W · 117 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Over	43c	116.28$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.28	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over	28c	115$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.25	520	52.3%272 W · 248 L	+31.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa76e…1dbebacked Over	47c	104.22$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.72	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e65…701cbacked Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Over	43c	101.4$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.8	215	46.5%100 W · 115 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under	53c	100.01$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.34	311	55%171 W · 140 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	170	46.5%79 W · 91 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8120…057dbacked Under	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	+400%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over	48c	99.99$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.99	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcf0…f4b7backed Over	48c	97.08$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.48	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Under	14c	95.97$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	244	9.4%23 W · 221 L	-27.5wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x35ef…2a44backed Over	47c	91.57$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.53	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…a506backed Over	23c	84.05$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.6	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Over	48c	83.29$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.31	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Over	48c	79.44$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.41	143	52.4%75 W · 68 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcffd…88a2backed Under	42c	78.98$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.17	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	69cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a7…b3f8backed Under	64c	77.76$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.77	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	74cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over	36c	77.09$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.09	172	43%74 W · 98 L	-12.4wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 232.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event