TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75f2…2a5d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.43
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$842.44
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.44
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.71
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$85.05
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$171
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$125.8
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.56
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21,400.47
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$112.01
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13,857Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+217.9%+$30,188.7
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10,095.47
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$229.16
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+96.4%+$544.04
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+82.2%+$293.24
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$148.7
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+168%+$7,662.84
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+74%+$99.23
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.75
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$644.39
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$27
LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.25
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$74
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+119.8%+$109
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+114.7%+$12.18
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$14.27
All 16 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+59.5%+$346.95
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,021Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+54.2%+$553.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$132.5
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,118.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.