Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5358f8d5eef0117401e520293bc6a0ad50c1ace5353e45a2a5630518d7704ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Fnatic, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Fnatic | 69c | 14,747$10,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,204.79 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 11,759$3,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,231.22 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 7,135$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,452.32 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75f2…2a5dbacked Fnatic | 65c | 7,115$4,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 5,438$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.56 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 4,168$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.95 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Fnatic | 63c | 3,180$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.6 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 2,830$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.56 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 2,800$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.49 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 2,490$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.57 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,377$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.16 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fnatic | 47c | 2,344$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.9 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fnatic | 64c | 2,003$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.68 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 1,727$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.52 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,532$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.52 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…2614backed Fnatic | 13c | 1,421$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.33 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…f5c4backed Fnatic | 61c | 1,210$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.09 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Fnatic | 75c | 1,208$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.13 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…b201backed Fnatic | 65c | 1,042$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…13abbacked Fnatic | 59c | 982.1$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Fnatic | 74c | 946.71$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.7 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ec…d641backed Fnatic | 66c | 946.07$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Fnatic | 79c | 942.02$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.87 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 890$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…b339backed Fnatic | 64c | 875$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Fnatic | 64c | 856.55$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.97 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Fnatic | 65c | 816.61$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.18 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 754.2$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.71 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Fnatic | 67c | 750$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Fnatic | 63c | 717.07$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 678.98$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.55 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 649.54$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.21 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 649.54$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.21 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7e…9546backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 613.86$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Fnatic | 55c | 598.48$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.54 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 589.32$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.39 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 568.57$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.57 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 564.9$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.96 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Fnatic | 67c | 557.76$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.02 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Fnatic | 58c | 521.78$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.64 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fnatic | 22c | 517$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.31 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 500$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.16 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…f47bbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 499.97$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Fnatic | 64c | 494.48$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.16 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Fnatic | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fnatic | 76c | 396.33$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.86 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…b23ebacked Fnatic | 70c | 380$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 369.65$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.12 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Fnatic | 51c | 362.42$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.72 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Fnatic | 14c | 356.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Fnatic | 73c | 343.75$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.32 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Fnatic | 69c | 341.98$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.21 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fnatic | 13c | 330$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 327.21$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.96 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78b2…90c3backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 325.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.67 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 304$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 294$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +168.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 287.41$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.07 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Fnatic | 5c | 282.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Fnatic | 80c | 258$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.84 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 243.86$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +169.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Fnatic | 68c | 239.42$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.92 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…12f0backed Fnatic | 38c | 200.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Fnatic | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 199.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.93 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fnatic | 69c | 191.69$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.55 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 186.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.45 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Fnatic | 23c | 183.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 179.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.79 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Fnatic | 7c | 174.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Fnatic | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Fnatic | 61c | 162.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Fnatic | 50c | 159$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Fnatic | 70c | 157.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34cc…d703backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 143$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Fnatic | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…202abacked Fnatic | 70c | 135.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…4576backed Fnatic | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Fnatic | 60c | 130$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 128$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fnatic | 51c | 125.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 121.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…b929backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 113.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Fnatic | 61c | 109.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Fnatic | 28c | 105$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…42b4backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 103.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Fnatic | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb3…9e69backed Fnatic | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7107…7a54backed Fnatic | 63c | 94.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 88.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -15.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Fnatic | 76c | 87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…e9b8backed Fnatic | 63c | 83.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fnatic | 61c | 82.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a2…fbd2backed Fnatic | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2this page
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.