Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x087fc700c2e2253456cc0f1fbb895771a583eaf3b694bf876aef7922cdab29cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Fnatic, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Fnatic | 69c | 13,000$9,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,014.34 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 10,983$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,318.95 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 9,769$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,838.13 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 3,298$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.91 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Fnatic | 41c | 3,218$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.13 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Fnatic | 62c | 2,223$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.77 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,845$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.33 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Fnatic | 49c | 1,586$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.22 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f2…2a5dbacked Fnatic | 68c | 1,440$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Fnatic | 60c | 1,344$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.28 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Fnatic | 38c | 1,192$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.49 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Fnatic | 41c | 1,136$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.76 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 996.57$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Fnatic | 57c | 799.71$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.52 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 750$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Fnatic | 56c | 727.73$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.58 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 691.55$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.59 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…ba5cbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 661.25$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 593.18$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.96 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fnatic | 48c | 509$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.14 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 427.62$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 403.02$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.53 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Fnatic | 47c | 365$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.55 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Fnatic | 52c | 305$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fnatic | 63c | 296.4$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fnatic | 67c | 244.33$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.68 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d34dbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 239.39$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 161.47$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.47 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0e…2becbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 160$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Fnatic | 63c | 156.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 146.48$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…3137backed Fnatic | 38c | 143.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 135$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Fnatic | 69c | 134.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fnatic | 66c | 105.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Fnatic | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 92.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ecffbacked Fnatic | 58c | 77.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Fnatic | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Fnatic | 54c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fnatic | 47c | 54.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…b929backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 50.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 44.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…6b36backed Fnatic | 50c | 33.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…64f8backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 30.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Fnatic | 42c | 29.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Fnatic | 66c | 21.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Fnatic | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Fnatic | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Fnatic | 59c | 17.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2Natus Vincere won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.