Lol · resolved market
LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x169739e7df4e112998b15111829dc9b4f333fb97cf7867b6f570dd9c083f3462
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof FlyQuest, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked FlyQuest | 70c | 20,127$14,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.1 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Disguised | 32c | 15,510$4,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.42 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Disguised | 23c | 10,071$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.45 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c5…457fbacked Disguised | 19c | 9,357$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.95 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed FlyQuest | 63c | 7,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.99 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…2b66backed Disguised | 34c | 5,867$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.11 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Disguised | 36c | 4,914$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed FlyQuest | 73c | 4,645$3,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.27 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Disguised | 1c | 4,201$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed FlyQuest | 79c | 4,000$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed FlyQuest | 71c | 3,956$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.94 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Disguised | 25c | 3,808$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.66 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Disguised | 29c | 3,300$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked FlyQuest | 62c | 3,003$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.33 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Disguised | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed FlyQuest | 66c | 2,907$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.45 | 483 | 53.4%258 W · 225 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed FlyQuest | 72c | 2,410$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.89 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Disguised | 14c | 2,300$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.26 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Disguised | 4c | 2,250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked FlyQuest | 71c | 2,225$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.84 | 189 | 61.4%116 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Disguised | 28c | 2,205$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.39 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Disguised | 34c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Disguised | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Disguised | 26c | 1,998$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.42 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Disguised | 7c | 1,971$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.12 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed FlyQuest | 69c | 1,908$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.5 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Disguised | 12c | 1,885$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.62 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed FlyQuest | 69c | 1,800$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.98 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised | 29c | 1,678$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.41 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Disguised | 30c | 1,595$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.5 | 269 | 42.4%114 W · 155 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Disguised | 29c | 1,555$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.2 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Disguised | 29c | 1,455$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.55 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed FlyQuest | 75c | 1,434$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.28 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed FlyQuest | 61c | 1,409$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…4d66backed FlyQuest | 71c | 1,373$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Disguised | 31c | 1,289$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Disguised | 27c | 1,271$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.2 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked FlyQuest | 74c | 1,216$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.22 | 701 | 62.2%436 W · 265 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda1e…f6a4backed FlyQuest | 78c | 1,190$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.8 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed FlyQuest | 74c | 1,180$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.83 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Disguised | 30c | 1,152$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.77 | 197 | 31%61 W · 136 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…efc2backed Disguised | 14c | 1,102$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19b…a935backed Disguised | 7c | 1,098$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ea…1f05backed Disguised | 28c | 1,056$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2301backed Disguised | 29c | 1,020$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.78 | 131 | 21.4%28 W · 103 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Disguised | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Disguised | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed FlyQuest | 70c | 984.27$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.28 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Disguised | 9c | 967.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 304 | 21.4%65 W · 239 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Disguised | 39c | 888.52$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.52 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Disguised | 9c | 887.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed FlyQuest | 69c | 840$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.4 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed FlyQuest | 73c | 822.69$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.69 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…7e4fbacked FlyQuest | 71c | 818.71$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Disguised | 30c | 810.5$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.91 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Disguised | 24c | 793.01$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.22 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed FlyQuest | 76c | 789.47$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Disguised | 22c | 771.34$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.79 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked FlyQuest | 71c | 710$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.9 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked Disguised | 29c | 690$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Disguised | 17c | 689$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 259 | 23.2%60 W · 199 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Disguised | 30c | 626.69$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.74 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Disguised | 20c | 623.34$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked FlyQuest | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Disguised | 33c | 589.65$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.79 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…5746backed FlyQuest | 71c | 564.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked FlyQuest | 77c | 516.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 281 | 50.5%142 W · 139 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed FlyQuest | 77c | 515$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Disguised | 23c | 514.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked FlyQuest | 65c | 503.12$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.19 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked FlyQuest | 70c | 490.5$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.15 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Disguised | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…9a3bbacked Disguised | 22c | 459.29$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Disguised | 19c | 441$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked FlyQuest | 70c | 436.42$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.42 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…b373backed Disguised | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…1131backed Disguised | 32c | 396.1$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Disguised | 29c | 384.45$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed FlyQuest | 74c | 360.33$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…439cbacked Disguised | 14c | 355.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…ba61backed Disguised | 36c | 355.28$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed FlyQuest | 72c | 347.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 941 | 44.6%420 W · 521 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed FlyQuest | 70c | 333$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 207 | 64.3%133 W · 74 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Disguised | 33c | 329.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 306 | 32%98 W · 208 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…7148backed FlyQuest | 65c | 311.55$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Disguised | 33c | 310$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4004…68f2backed FlyQuest | 69c | 302.25$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked Disguised | 35c | 298.17$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Disguised | 32c | 294.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…b9f2backed Disguised | 11c | 294$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ec…17d7backed FlyQuest | 69c | 290.09$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed FlyQuest | 75c | 289.88$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 677 | 63.4%429 W · 248 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed FlyQuest | 79c | 287.66$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +20.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed FlyQuest | 70c | 281.46$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Disguised | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b7…60fcbacked FlyQuest | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed FlyQuest | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Disguised | 31c | 248.17$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…87f8backed Disguised | 30c | 242.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…f3b2backed Disguised | 17c | 239.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagethis page
- Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Disguised won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerDisguised won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.