Lol · resolved market
LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87d9379a20c78a4731c96fe9789d9359faa8c0d5181e2aae28086aa59cba5a71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Disguisedof FlyQuest, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Disguised | 25c | 24,188$6,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,048.79 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed FlyQuest | 74c | 10,281$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,649.52 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed FlyQuest | 73c | 7,899$5,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,754.71 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed FlyQuest | 59c | 7,640$4,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,529.63 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Disguised | 30c | 7,130$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,977.19 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Disguised | 29c | 6,822$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,821.86 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Disguised | 32c | 6,537$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,415.56 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FlyQuest | 68c | 5,254$3,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.07 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed FlyQuest | 74c | 3,996$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.77 | 269 | 42.4%114 W · 155 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked FlyQuest | 28c | 3,862$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.35 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked FlyQuest | 10c | 3,575$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.48 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FlyQuest | 74c | 3,548$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.06 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed FlyQuest | 63c | 3,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.8 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Disguised | 31c | 2,612$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.69 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised | 32c | 2,221$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.17 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked FlyQuest | 72c | 2,086$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.91 | 189 | 61.4%116 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Disguised | 26c | 2,061$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.86 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed FlyQuest | 63c | 1,976$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.77 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FlyQuest | 59c | 1,777$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.97 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed FlyQuest | 74c | 1,749$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.16 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Disguised | 27c | 1,509$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.76 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Disguised | 76c | 1,485$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.98 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed FlyQuest | 73c | 1,363$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.27 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed FlyQuest | 68c | 1,330$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.4 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Disguised | 31c | 1,032$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.38 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked FlyQuest | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed FlyQuest | 75c | 960.73$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.81 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +20.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Disguised | 30c | 898$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.24 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FlyQuest | 49c | 888.98$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.12 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked FlyQuest | 75c | 881.8$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.35 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Disguised | 26c | 821.47$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.89 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed FlyQuest | 68c | 799.27$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.55 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Disguised | 26c | 671.32$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.78 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed FlyQuest | 18c | 610.24$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9863…6528backed FlyQuest | 80c | 600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked FlyQuest | 15c | 600$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…7e4fbacked FlyQuest | 72c | 582.24$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Disguised | 26c | 530$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.2 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked FlyQuest | 76c | 530$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.8 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Disguised | 28c | 502.8$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.67 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked FlyQuest | 80c | 500$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed FlyQuest | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FlyQuest | 72c | 497.43$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.15 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed FlyQuest | 61c | 483.94$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.2 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Disguised | 39c | 470$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.1 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…d91cbacked FlyQuest | 26c | 445.68$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.14 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…9a3bbacked FlyQuest | 78c | 426.53$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.94 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Disguised | 26c | 412.77$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.45 | 306 | 32%98 W · 208 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Disguised | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed FlyQuest | 59c | 400$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Disguised | 23c | 400$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked FlyQuest | 68c | 382.86$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.34 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Disguised | 60c | 333.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.39 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FlyQuest | 51c | 309.59$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Disguised | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Disguised | 36c | 280.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Disguised | 32c | 280$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…5746backed FlyQuest | 73c | 275.34$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked FlyQuest | 10c | 255.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ea…1f05backed FlyQuest | 39c | 252.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed FlyQuest | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Disguised | 30c | 247$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.1 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Disguised | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed FlyQuest | 10c | 207.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked FlyQuest | 42c | 201.21$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2657…4af5backed Disguised | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…439cbacked Disguised | 19c | 200$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked FlyQuest | 67c | 199.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked FlyQuest | 10c | 191.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21cf…e8ccbacked Disguised | 29c | 178.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…608ebacked FlyQuest | 51c | 165.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed FlyQuest | 80c | 163.75$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked FlyQuest | 77c | 163.68$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed FlyQuest | 76c | 160$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Disguised | 25c | 148.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…1dd0backed FlyQuest | 75c | 133.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Disguised | 25c | 132.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Disguised | 25c | 124$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Disguised | 25c | 122.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 228 | 63.2%144 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cda…08dbbacked Disguised | 33c | 120.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…7148backed FlyQuest | 76c | 111.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Disguised | 33c | 111.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Disguised | 47c | 108.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed FlyQuest | 73c | 107.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.22 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Disguised | 30c | 105.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…2b66backed FlyQuest | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked FlyQuest | 78c | 99.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked FlyQuest | 63c | 97.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +33.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked Disguised | 59c | 95.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed FlyQuest | 49c | 88.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Disguised | 26c | 85.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 289 | 24.6%71 W · 218 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957c…2965backed FlyQuest | 47c | 84.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Disguised | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Disguised | 43c | 83.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked FlyQuest | 64c | 78.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…50cabacked FlyQuest | 52c | 76.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Disguised | 47c | 74.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 298 | 56.4%168 W · 130 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…76dcbacked FlyQuest | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…1536backed FlyQuest | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed FlyQuest | 72c | 67.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Disguised won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group StageFlyQuest won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.