TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6b7…60fc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
24
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Lol at 49 out of 100; worst Tweets at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked S2G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$63.16
LoL: Los Ratones vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.1%+$26.13
LoL: LOS vs RED Canids (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+65.2%+$176.14
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$18.49
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$107.21
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.8%+$72.83
LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$42.9
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33%+$89.66
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-71.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+54.8%+$68.49
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+29.2%+$29.18
All 10 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.