Lol · resolved market

LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 3 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8827d7ef82ad46c64ba64ece4d4b8762cf5e8ddc58e61e99fb2ca66be61d558b

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, S2G Esports
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,088

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,264 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbc67…5286backed S2G Esports	51c	4,946$2,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,525.25	697	56.5%394 W · 303 L	+26.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Misa Esports	57c	3,861$2,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,642.25	1,592	34%541 W · 1,051 L	-79.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Misa Esports	68c	2,739$1,874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$865.34	184	51.6%95 W · 89 L	+9.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed Misa Esports	52c	2,597$1,354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,243.59	240	65%156 W · 84 L	+24.6wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed S2G Esports	48c	2,259$1,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,074.15	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-11.1wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed S2G Esports	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	239	15.9%38 W · 201 L	+10.3wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+53.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked S2G Esports	44c	1,896$834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$834.43	2,406	42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L	+21.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked S2G Esports	45c	1,674$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.07	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed S2G Esports	46c	1,453$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.7	261	44.1%115 W · 146 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8c…0e0cbacked Misa Esports	42c	1,416$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$825.78	126	53.2%67 W · 59 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed S2G Esports	19c	956.53$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.54	1,806	39.1%707 W · 1,099 L	-30.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked Misa Esports	56c	900$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396	252	68.3%172 W · 80 L	+14.5wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed S2G Esports	4c	876.19$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.52	769	53.4%411 W · 358 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Misa Esports	73c	650$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.5	332	51.5%171 W · 161 L	+33.0wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked S2G Esports	9c	500$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	113	16.8%19 W · 94 L	+6.6wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	+65.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed S2G Esports	25c	500$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	1,468	28.9%424 W · 1,044 L	+23.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked S2G Esports	70c	479.71$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.61	701	62.2%436 W · 265 L	-37.3wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Misa Esports	70c	428.57$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.57	362	60.5%219 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed Misa Esports	75c	400$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	164	56.7%93 W · 71 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed S2G Esports	27c	327.57$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.77	1,399	43.7%612 W · 787 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Misa Esports	72c	323$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.01	675	49%331 W · 344 L	+10.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Misa Esports	33c	306.67$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.67	689	42.5%293 W · 396 L	+16.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6b7…60fcbacked S2G Esports	19c	265.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Misa Esports	61c	246.14$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.14	199	46.7%93 W · 106 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked S2G Esports	28c	233$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.11	2,004	58.2%1,166 W · 838 L	+86.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6b5…5fc8backed Misa Esports	71c	219.21$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.57	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+3.4wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Misa Esports	68c	211$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.52	205	50.2%103 W · 102 L	+15.4wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed S2G Esports	60c	205.87$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.84	2,905	38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L	-118.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed S2G Esports	68c	200.81$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.89	579	47.3%274 W · 305 L	-14.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed S2G Esports	61c	200.21$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.84	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-3.7wins	-0.22per pick	45cpaid	-57%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed S2G Esports	67c	200$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	1,731	44.2%765 W · 966 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed S2G Esports	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,241	52.7%654 W · 587 L	+5.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Misa Esports	66c	195.86$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.87	1,270	57%724 W · 546 L	+45.7wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f4…3421backed S2G Esports	8c	173.97$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Misa Esports	70c	165.63$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.32	284	58.5%166 W · 118 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Misa Esports	38c	146.76$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.63	185	20.5%38 W · 147 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked S2G Esports	29c	146.45$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.47	955	51.7%494 W · 461 L	-12.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc690…ec5bbacked S2G Esports	19c	140$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.94	414	53.4%221 W · 193 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Misa Esports	73c	131.96$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.75	1,543	54.8%845 W · 698 L	+75.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Misa Esports	76c	131.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Misa Esports	39c	129.16$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.05	997	47.1%470 W · 527 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports	71c	127.89$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.37	2,341	40.3%943 W · 1,398 L	-61.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Misa Esports	18c	111.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.67	1,443	43.4%626 W · 817 L	+105.5wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x829b…4892backed S2G Esports	30c	109.39$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.82	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+5.0wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ef1…add2backed Misa Esports	38c	108.16$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.12	228	67.5%154 W · 74 L	+21.1wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked S2G Esports	63c	105$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.15	170	42.9%73 W · 97 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Misa Esports	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	153	59.5%91 W · 62 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked S2G Esports	24c	99.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1,241	34.7%431 W · 810 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked Misa Esports	71c	99.99$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	210	59%124 W · 86 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2051…f9f1backed Misa Esports	32c	93.48$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.48	492	53.5%263 W · 229 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x458d…8a59backed Misa Esports	32c	90.03$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.56	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-6.1wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x093d…615bbacked Misa Esports	76c	89.76$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.54	159	55.3%88 W · 71 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed S2G Esports	13c	82.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.05	1,606	17.5%281 W · 1,325 L	-245.0wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Misa Esports	45c	81.04$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.86	217	53.9%117 W · 100 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked S2G Esports	63c	79.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	228	63.2%144 W · 84 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed S2G Esports	29c	72.41$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Misa Esports	71c	72.41$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	610	45.2%276 W · 334 L	+35.4wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+16%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03c4…6f4ebacked Misa Esports	57c	61.23$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.23	244	53.3%130 W · 114 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a9…7876backed Misa Esports	43c	50.42$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.74	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked Misa Esports	53c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.6	79	19%15 W · 64 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39d1…68babacked S2G Esports	29c	48.55$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-27%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked S2G Esports	28c	42.38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.78	229	55.5%127 W · 102 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9f…36dfbacked Misa Esports	38c	41.18$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.53	586	49.8%292 W · 294 L	+15.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Misa Esports	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	791	56.1%444 W · 347 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7351…0e12backed Misa Esports	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Misa Esports	77c	18.18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.18	493	66.7%329 W · 164 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a3…9551backed Misa Esports	75c	13.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.41	41	61%25 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 3 Winnerthis page
Game Handicap: ME (-2.5) vs S2G Esports (+2.5)Misa Esports won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsMisa Esports won
LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 3 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event