Lol · resolved market
LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd71ad868775601b89575995e224c66da7216ccfa1def7e8ae4fc6417490eebe7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, S2G Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,316 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed Misa Esports | 58c | 8,000$4,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328.82 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed S2G Esports | 36c | 5,213$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.41 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed S2G Esports | 34c | 3,549$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.06 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -11.1wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Misa Esports | 77c | 3,400$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked S2G Esports | 35c | 3,358$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.17 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed S2G Esports | 43c | 3,123$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.26 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked S2G Esports | 1c | 1,865$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked S2G Esports | 24c | 1,633$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.66 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Misa Esports | 64c | 1,493$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.48 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked S2G Esports | 23c | 1,237$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.35 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…0ddcbacked S2G Esports | 1c | 1,233$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…14eabacked Misa Esports | 80c | 1,125$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.79 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Misa Esports | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Misa Esports | 70c | 715.19$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.56 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…3930backed S2G Esports | 12c | 626.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Misa Esports | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed S2G Esports | 44c | 460.85$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.97 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked S2G Esports | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Misa Esports | 67c | 346$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Misa Esports | 60c | 334.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 689 | 42.5%293 W · 396 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Misa Esports | 63c | 331.09$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed S2G Esports | 34c | 275.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Misa Esports | 71c | 264.42$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…add2backed Misa Esports | 71c | 250.38$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 228 | 67.5%154 W · 74 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed S2G Esports | 47c | 235.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 69c | 214.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Misa Esports | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Misa Esports | 58c | 172.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked S2G Esports | 17c | 144.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Misa Esports | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Misa Esports | 73c | 142.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Misa Esports | 74c | 130.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 284 | 58.5%166 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed S2G Esports | 24c | 104.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Misa Esports | 69c | 87.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 675 | 49%331 W · 344 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed S2G Esports | 16c | 85.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Misa Esports | 67c | 73.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked S2G Esports | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…2a21backed S2G Esports | 31c | 64.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked S2G Esports | 25c | 64.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093d…615bbacked Misa Esports | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 159 | 55.3%88 W · 71 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…af7dbacked Misa Esports | 77c | 51.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed S2G Esports | 33c | 51.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Misa Esports | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed S2G Esports | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…46fcbacked S2G Esports | 38c | 48.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked S2G Esports | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Misa Esports | 76c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked S2G Esports | 26c | 45.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed S2G Esports | 31c | 37.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Misa Esports | 60c | 23.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Misa Esports | 60c | 22.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Misa Esports | 69c | 21.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 465 | 60%279 W · 186 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Misa Esports | 77c | 20.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 493 | 66.7%329 W · 164 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Misa Esports | 78c | 16.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Misa Esports | 71c | 14.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: ME (-2.5) vs S2G Esports (+2.5)Misa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 3 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.