Lol · resolved market

LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d9b520026391afd3720ad16be28a915f4b29d6422241e1670c78718cc0371fc

Rebuilt 20 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, S2G Esports
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $133,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,354 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf7c4…5919backed S2G Esports	0c	7,019$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked S2G Esports	6c	5,097$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.47	2,406	42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L	+21.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked S2G Esports	3c	4,234$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.99	680	49%333 W · 347 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked S2G Esports	7c	3,991$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed S2G Esports	14c	3,791$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.9	1,474	29%427 W · 1,047 L	+25.0wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked S2G Esports	14c	3,595$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.26	155	45.8%71 W · 84 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed S2G Esports	5c	3,184$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.29	261	44.1%115 W · 146 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed S2G Esports	15c	2,670$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.5	443	35.4%157 W · 286 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc093…de0ebacked S2G Esports	18c	2,081$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.69	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed S2G Esports	10c	2,014$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211	184	33.7%62 W · 122 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332f…1ee8backed S2G Esports	16c	2,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	+7.1wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked S2G Esports	10c	1,939$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.56	171	43.3%74 W · 97 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed S2G Esports	13c	1,637$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.83	163	39.3%64 W · 99 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed S2G Esports	14c	1,430$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	89	29.2%26 W · 63 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-32%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7693…ba75backed S2G Esports	14c	1,237$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.16	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked S2G Esports	25c	1,100$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.54	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked S2G Esports	4c	1,050$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked S2G Esports	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	771	31.8%245 W · 526 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Misa Esports	80c	886.15$709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.23	409	70.2%287 W · 122 L	+30.9wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked S2G Esports	13c	780.1$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.41	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed S2G Esports	4c	735$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.17	898	10.7%96 W · 802 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked S2G Esports	5c	685.9$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.9	563	17.2%97 W · 466 L	-16.4wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed S2G Esports	14c	655.77$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.92	1,412	43.8%618 W · 794 L	-3.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked S2G Esports	12c	588.81$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.64	2,836	41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L	-12.9wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed S2G Esports	16c	549.98$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3077…d15dbacked S2G Esports	14c	511$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cc5…625dbacked S2G Esports	11c	489.51$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.7	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed S2G Esports	5c	465.58$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.28	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-3.7wins	-0.22per pick	45cpaid	-57%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked Misa Esports	75c	454$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.4	151	41.7%63 W · 88 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked S2G Esports	4c	442.17$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.42	79	35.4%28 W · 51 L	+6.5wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Misa Esports	79c	360.56$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.56	202	49%99 W · 103 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed S2G Esports	12c	330.46$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.23	170	40.6%69 W · 101 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed S2G Esports	6c	289.14$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.78	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-11.1wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe7d4…b415backed S2G Esports	14c	289$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed S2G Esports	9c	277.78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked S2G Esports	15c	265.03$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.06	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed S2G Esports	16c	263.66$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.99	1,731	44.2%765 W · 966 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed S2G Esports	18c	256.15$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	50	28%14 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked S2G Esports	12c	252.87$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.85	2,364	40.7%963 W · 1,401 L	-57.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Misa Esports	79c	240$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.4	49	51%25 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed S2G Esports	15c	221.87$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.28	108	23.1%25 W · 83 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed S2G Esports	8c	221.04$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.34	2,910	38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L	-120.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked S2G Esports	16c	195$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.06	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+4.8wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed S2G Esports	13c	192.16$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.82	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6eb…4c0bbacked S2G Esports	14c	182.9$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed S2G Esports	15c	172.47$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.87	427	35.4%151 W · 276 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked S2G Esports	15c	161.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.78	1,224	48.3%591 W · 633 L	+26.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53fc…76d7backed S2G Esports	12c	160$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.55	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked S2G Esports	9c	159.28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	793	56.2%446 W · 347 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Misa Esports	75c	150.1$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.71	1,368	37.7%516 W · 852 L	-6.8wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4287…3d5ebacked S2G Esports	15c	147$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.05	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Misa Esports	75c	140$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Misa Esports	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+5.4wins	+0.26per pick	46cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x46ff…6672backed S2G Esports	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	15cpaid	+122.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…5758backed S2G Esports	17c	131.2$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.3	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5426…bc07backed S2G Esports	14c	129$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d41…b2bfbacked S2G Esports	17c	121.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed S2G Esports	15c	120$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb15…92b6backed S2G Esports	16c	113.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7280…65d2backed S2G Esports	14c	111.44$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.11	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed S2G Esports	26c	111.2$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.91	441	28.1%124 W · 317 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked S2G Esports	18c	110$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	924	50.9%470 W · 454 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x741e…9b87backed S2G Esports	17c	110$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e41…49f4backed S2G Esports	17c	110$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8aa…c0f7backed S2G Esports	18c	109.81$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	44cpaid	-75.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed S2G Esports	16c	108.05$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	106	38.7%41 W · 65 L	-10.3wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39d1…68babacked S2G Esports	10c	102.98$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-27%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Misa Esports	78c	100$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	255	47.5%121 W · 134 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked S2G Esports	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,241	34.7%431 W · 810 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca1a…89e5backed S2G Esports	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed S2G Esports	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	541	29.9%162 W · 379 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked S2G Esports	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	145	44.8%65 W · 80 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked S2G Esports	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	474	44.1%209 W · 265 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d13…ee66backed S2G Esports	17c	98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.66	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9985…dad8backed S2G Esports	14c	97.37$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c35…04bcbacked S2G Esports	16c	94$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked S2G Esports	17c	90$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.1	171	32.2%55 W · 116 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed S2G Esports	16c	87.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	120	35.8%43 W · 77 L	-12.6wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1586…5692backed S2G Esports	17c	86.7$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x695a…7ba2backed Misa Esports	79c	83.45$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.46	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ab…3eb5backed S2G Esports	14c	72$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed S2G Esports	17c	64.77$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.21	198	44.9%89 W · 109 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed S2G Esports	17c	60$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked S2G Esports	17c	59.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed S2G Esports	19c	53.21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,372	48.6%667 W · 705 L	+57.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Misa Esports	78c	49.76$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.17	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffsthis page
Game Handicap: ME (-2.5) vs S2G Esports (+2.5)Misa Esports won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 3 WinnerMisa Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event